Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Salisbury		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	1.9
	3.6	3.65	1.8
	3.79	3.86	1.85
	3.7	3.82	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.93)	3.73 ↓ (3.74)	1.84 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
25.8%

Draw
24.5%

Taunton Town
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

24.2%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

18.7%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salisbury's form might have worsened.

Taunton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taunton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Salisbury - Taunton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs)).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 2.

Salisbury is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Taunton is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Taunton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Salisbury won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
26.02.22	Hendon - Salisbury	2:3 ✺
19.02.22	Salisbury - Beaconsfield Town	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Chesham United - Salisbury	4:0 ✺
05.02.22	Salisbury - Hayes & Yeading United	1:1 ✺
01.02.22	Taunton Town - Salisbury	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLTL
- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
26.02.22	Harrow Borough - Taunton Town	3:2 ✺
19.02.22	Taunton Town - Hendon	3:1 ✺
12.02.22	Taunton Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Merthyr Town - Taunton Town	0:3 ✺
01.02.22	Taunton Town - Salisbury	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
01.02.22	Taunton Town - Salisbury	3:1
15.10.19	Salisbury - Taunton Town	2:1
29.01.19	Salisbury - Taunton Town	3:2
28.11.18	Taunton Town - Salisbury	4:3

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