Match Info

National League South - Round 17

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: The Meadow (Chesham)


	Chesham United		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.3	3.65
	1.89	3.57	3.89
	2.07	3.56	3.19	Watch
	1.9	3.53	3.84
	2.1	3.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.07)	3.44 ↓ (3.56)	3.56 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
47%

Draw
27%

Salisbury
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.1%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26.2%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Chesham United - Salisbury Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 1, Coppin N. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 9 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesham won 2.

Chesham is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Salisbury has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chesham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Chesham won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Chesham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2.3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English National League South
04.11.25	Hornchurch - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Chesham United - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Chesham United - Worthing	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Chesham United - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWWLW
- Salisbury FC
English National League South
04.11.25	Chippenham Town - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Salisbury - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Ebbsfleet United - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Salisbury - Farnborough	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Salisbury - Slough Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.02.25	Chesham United - Salisbury	2:2
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Chesham United - Salisbury	2:3
English National League South
03.09.24	Salisbury - Chesham United	1:2
English Southern League South Division
06.04.24	Chesham United - Salisbury	2:1
09.03.24	Salisbury - Chesham United	3:1
15.04.23	Chesham United - Salisbury	3:1
12.11.22	Salisbury - Chesham United	1:2

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