Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 28

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Merthyr Town		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.75	3.4
	1.87	3.83	3.61
	1.84	3.91	3.74
	1.77	3.82	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.71)	3.83 ↓ (4.06)	3.61 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
50.6%

Draw
24%

Taunton Town
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

22.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

23.1%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Taunton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Merthyr Town - Taunton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Merthyr will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Taunton will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 0, Rees R. ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 0, Rees R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 2.

Recent matches Merthyr is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Taunton is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Merthyr is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:18 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Merthyr won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
18.01.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Merthyr Town	0:1 ✺
14.01.25	Merthyr Town - Totton	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Merthyr Town - Dorchester Town	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Tiverton Town - Merthyr Town	1:1 ✺
01.01.25	Merthyr Town - Gloucester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTTT
- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
18.01.25	Taunton Town - Wimborne Town	2:2 ✺
14.01.25	Taunton Town - Gosport Borough	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Gosport Borough - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Gloucester City - Taunton Town	2:2 ✺
28.12.24	Taunton Town - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
10.12.24	Taunton Town - Merthyr Town	2:3
English FA Cup
19.09.23	Taunton Town - Merthyr Town	1:2
15.09.23	Merthyr Town - Taunton Town	1:1
English Southern League South Division
08.03.22	Taunton Town - Merthyr Town	2:1
05.02.22	Merthyr Town - Taunton Town	0:3
14.03.20	Taunton Town - Merthyr Town	Canceled
11.02.20	Merthyr Town - Taunton Town	4:2

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