Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 19

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday


	Salisbury		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.6	3.6
	1.79	3.75	3.5
	1.79	3.74	3.4
	1.75	3.8	3.6
	1.78	3.76	3.76
	1.8	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)	3.73 ↓ (3.78)	3.58 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
50.6%

Draw
24.1%

Yate Town
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

23.8%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

22.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Yate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Salisbury - Yate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Salisbury is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Yate is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Salisbury is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Salisbury won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
12.11.22	Salisbury - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
05.11.22	Weston-super-Mare - Salisbury	3:1 ✺
01.11.22	Salisbury - Hanwell Town	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
25.10.22	Salisbury - Truro City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
15.11.22	Bracknell Town - Yate Town	0:3 ✺
12.11.22	Swindon Supermarine - Yate Town	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Yate Town - Harrow Borough	3:3 ✺
22.10.22	Hartley Wintney - Yate Town	3:0 ✺
18.10.22	Yate Town - Winchester City	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
20.08.22	Yate Town - Salisbury	0:4
11.12.21	Salisbury - Yate Town	1:1
02.11.21	Yate Town - Salisbury	5:2
01.01.20	Yate Town - Salisbury	2:4
26.08.19	Salisbury - Yate Town	3:2

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