Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 18

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Swindon Supermarine		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4
	1.69	3.75	3.95
	1.68	3.71	3.91
	1.68	3.9	4.15
	1.72	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	4 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
53.4%

Draw
24.1%

Yate Town
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

23.9%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

23.3%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Swindon Supermarine - Yate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Swindon Supermarine could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Yate have a series of home games.

In this match Swindon Supermarine is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon Supermarine won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
05.11.22	Chesham United - Swindon Supermarine	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	0:5 ✺
English Southern League South Division
26.10.22	Swindon Supermarine - Hanwell Town	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Swindon Supermarine - Winchester City	1:2 ✺
19.10.22	Swindon Supermarine - Harrow Borough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTLW
- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
05.11.22	Yate Town - Harrow Borough	3:3 ✺
22.10.22	Hartley Wintney - Yate Town	3:0 ✺
18.10.22	Yate Town - Winchester City	3:3 ✺
15.10.22	Yate Town - Beaconsfield Town	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	Yate Town - Plymouth Parkway	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.03.22	Yate Town - Swindon Supermarine	0:3
20.11.21	Swindon Supermarine - Yate Town	1:3
18.02.20	Yate Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:0

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