Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 36

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Dorchester Town		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.7	1.85
	3.3	3.75	1.9
	3.36	3.92	1.92
	3.36	3.92	1.93
	3.35	3.6	1.92
	3.3	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.05)	3.77 ↑ (3.62)	1.9 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
27.6%

Draw
24.3%

Salisbury
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

25.2%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

26.3%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Koszela O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Salisbury have a series of home games.

Salisbury will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Dorchester won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
16.03.24	Beaconsfield Town - Dorchester Town	3:4 ✺
09.03.24	Dorchester Town - Beaconsfield Town	2:1 ✺
28.02.24	Totton - Dorchester Town	4:4 ✺
24.02.24	Dorchester Town - Hendon	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WWTTW
- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
16.03.24	Salisbury - Merthyr Town	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Salisbury - Chesham United	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Salisbury - Didcot Town	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Gosport Borough - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Salisbury - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
25.11.23	Salisbury - Dorchester Town	3:2
01.04.23	Salisbury - Dorchester Town	2:2
29.10.22	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	1:0
16.04.22	Salisbury - Dorchester Town	0:1
28.08.21	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	0:1
24.10.20	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	1:6
25.01.20	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	0:5

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