Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Tammisaari Keskuskentta (Raseborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Ekenäs		Lahti

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.98	3.5	2.12
	3.13	3.65	2.19
	3.31	3.44	2.10	Watch
	2.99	3.46	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.6)	3.51 ↑ (3.47)	2.15 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekenäs
30%

Draw
26.5%

Lahti
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

26.7%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

26.3%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekenäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ekenäs's form might have worsened.

Lahti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lahti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Ekenäs - Lahti Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. EIF will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lahti will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lahti: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lahti will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramilson (G) 8. Adu E. 22. Kaleba T. 6. Karlsson J. 10. Lucas Kaufmann 4. Manga T. 11. Mohammed N. 70. Moro M. 9. Ojala S. 5. Pakkanen R. 17. Sid R. (C)	31. Maukonen O. (G) 5. Casagrande P. 7. Heikkinen D. 23. Huovila V. 95. Kante A. 77. Karkulowski T. 11. Koskinen O. 9. Lindholm A. 6. Pami M. 3. Sans R. 21. Vainionpaa M. (C)
Substitutes
15. Bjorklund A. 25. Gottberg J. 96. Gronblom W. 7. Pietsalo R. 90. Rintamaki O. (G) 21. Sandbacka A. 18. Sivonen A. 24. Stynes D.	4. David 15. Hasa N. 25. Inkinen T. 18. Jokiranta V. 28. Montiel C. 20. Muzinga J. 10. Oteng E. 8. Peltola A. 1. Tiainen J. (G)
Coaches
Sund C.	Pereira G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Adu E. 🟨,
9', Pami M. 🟨,
26', Moro M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Huovila V. ⚽, Kante A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Koskinen O. ⚽, Karkulowski T. (A),
65', Moro M. ↓, Pietsalo R. ↑,
66', Koskinen O. ↓, Montiel C. ↑,
70', Montiel C. 🟨,
72', Heikkinen D. ↓, Hasa N. ↑,
72', Lindholm A. ↓, Muzinga J. ↑,
78', Karkulowski T. 🟨,
80', Vainionpaa M. ↓, Inkinen T. ↑,
80', Huovila V. ↓, David ↑,
90', Maukonen O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EIF won 0.

EIF is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Lahti has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, EIF won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, EIF won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkosliiga
18.08.25	Ekenäs - SJK Akatemia	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Lahti - Ekenäs	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	Ekenäs - TPS	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	JIPPO - Ekenäs	3:2 ✺
13.07.25	Ekenäs - SJK Akatemia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- FC Lahti
Finnish Ykkosliiga
16.08.25	Lahti - KaPa	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Lahti - Ekenäs	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	JäPS - Lahti	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	KaPa - Lahti	2:2 ✺
14.07.25	Lahti - TPS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
02.08.25	Lahti - Ekenäs	3:1
06.06.25	Ekenäs - Lahti	0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
19.10.24	Lahti - Ekenäs	0:0
09.08.24	Lahti - Ekenäs	4:0
19.05.24	Ekenäs - Lahti	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
03.02.24	Lahti - Ekenäs	2:1

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