Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Lahden Stadion (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Lahti		JäPS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	5.15	7.3
	1.4	4.87	6.77
	1.05	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.32	5.1	7.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.45)	4.03 ↓ (4.58)	5.71 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahti
64.9%

Draw
20.5%

JäPS
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

20.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

22%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

The ML Model estimate for JäPS aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lahti - JäPS Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lahti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Maukonen O. (G) 5. Casagrande P. 15. Hasa N. 95. Kante A. 77. Karkulowski T. 9. Lindholm A. 19. Martim Augusto 28. Montiel C. 6. Pami M. 3. Sans R. 21. Vainionpaa M. (C)	77. Mustafa B. (G) 26. Ahadi M. 21. Holopainen J. 19. Kuosa H. 4. Nikki J. 20. Olander H. 80. Pallas E. 13. Sainio A. 41. Salo J. 27. Soderlund I. 14. Tapani J. (C)
Substitutes
7. Heikkinen D. 23. Huovila V. 25. Inkinen T. 18. Jokiranta V. 14. Laamanen E. 20. Muzinga J. 10. Oteng E. 8. Peltola A. 1. Tiainen J. (G)	10. Ahola V. 5. Arminen T. 23. Hahl H. 8. Heidari R. 15. Hvidberg D. 1. Laiho J. (G) 2. Palmasto T. 9. Ristola A. 18. Virtanen J.
Coaches
Pereira G.	Kankkunen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Lindholm A. ⚽, Sans R. (A),
28', Sainio A. 🟨,
38', Ahadi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Holopainen J. ↓, Virtanen J. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Montiel C. ⚽, Kante A. (A),
66', Ahadi M. ↓, Ahola V. ↑,
68', Nikki J. 🟨,
69', Kante A. ↓, Huovila V. ↑,
73', Soderlund I. ↓, Ristola A. ↑,
74', Sainio A. ↓, Heidari R. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, (Own goal),
77', Lindholm A. ↓, Heikkinen D. ↑,
77', Martim Augusto ↓, Oteng E. ↑,
77', Montiel C. ↓, Muzinga J. ↑,
83', Vainionpaa M. ↓, Inkinen T. ↑,
87', Heidari R. 🟨,
89', Pallas E. ↓, Hahl H. ↑,
90+4', Casagrande P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 3.

Lahti has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

JäPS is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Lahti is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lahti won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lahti
Finnish Ykkosliiga
06.09.25	JIPPO - Lahti	1:0 ✺
28.08.25	Lahti - Klubi 04	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Ekenäs - Lahti	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Lahti - KaPa	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Lahti - Ekenäs	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWTW
- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
05.09.25	KaPa - JäPS	2:3 ✺
29.08.25	JäPS - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	PK-35 Vantaa - JäPS	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	JäPS - Salon Palloilijat	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	KaPa - JäPS	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.07.25	JäPS - Lahti	2:1
02.06.25	Lahti - JäPS	2:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.02.25	JäPS - Lahti	0:1
Club Friendly
21.12.24	Lahti - JäPS	3:0
21.12.23	Lahti - JäPS	1:1
Finnish Cup
28.06.22	Lahti - JäPS	2:1

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