Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 17

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Saltillo		Leones Negros 2

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	4.1
	1.71	3.7	4.51
	1.69	3.67	4.51
	1.65	3.66	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.05)	3.66 ↑ (3.18)	4.41 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saltillo
54.4%

Draw
24.9%

Leones Negros 2
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

29.4%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saltillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saltillo's performance.

Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones Negros 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saltillo than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saltillo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones Negros 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Saltillo - Leones Negros 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Saltillo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leones Negros 2 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Saltillo is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saltillo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Saltillo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saltillo FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.11.23	Tritones Vallarta - Saltillo	1:2 ✺
10.11.23	Saltillo - Colima	1:0 ✺
02.11.23	Tecos FC - Saltillo	1:0 ✺
27.10.23	Saltillo - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Saltillo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLT
- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.11.23	Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	0:0 ✺
10.11.23	Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros 2	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Leones Negros 2 - Los Cabos United	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Mexicali - Leones Negros 2	1:3 ✺
21.10.23	Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
26.03.22	Leones Negros 2 - Saltillo	2:1
13.11.21	Saltillo - Leones Negros 2	3:1
03.04.21	Leones Negros 2 - Saltillo	3:0
15.02.20	Leones Negros 2 - Saltillo	2:1
20.09.19	Saltillo - Leones Negros 2	1:1

Saltillo - Leones Negros 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide