Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 19

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Francisco Zarco (Durango)


	Alacranes de Durango		Leones Negros 2

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.09	8.1
	1.28	4.53	11.7	Watch
	1.29	4.8	9
	1.4	4.92	6.56	Watch
	1.37	4.25	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)	4.72 ↑ (3.8)	8.27 ↑ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
69.7%

Draw
19.3%

Leones Negros 2
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

22.3%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alacranes de Durango's performance.

Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Valenzuela A. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alacranes de Durango won 4.

Alacranes de Durango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alacranes de Durango is the clear favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Alacranes de Durango won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Alacranes de Durango won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.01.26	Alacranes de Durango - Tigres de Álica	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Alacranes de Durango - Tritones Vallarta	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Alacranes de Durango - Tecos FC	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Alacranes de Durango	1:6 ✺
14.11.25	Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWT
- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.02.26	Leones Negros 2 - La Piedad	3:1 ✺
30.01.26	Colima - Leones Negros 2	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Leones Negros 2 - Los Cabos United	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Tigres de Álica - Leones Negros 2	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
27.09.25	Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:2
24.01.25	Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros 2	2:1
21.09.24	Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:0
13.04.24	Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango	1:2
10.11.23	Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros 2	2:1
12.03.22	Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango	2:4
05.11.21	Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros 2	2:1

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