Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Leones Negros 2		Mineros de Fresnillo

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.79	4.87	Watch
	1.57	3.68	5.26	Watch
	1.61	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)	3.69 ↓ (3.79)	4.82 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones Negros 2
56.7%

Draw
24.5%

Mineros de Fresnillo
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.1%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

24.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Mineros de Fresnillo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 2 - 1, ⚽,
83', 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros 2 won 2.

Recent performances by Leones Negros 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mineros de Fresnillo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mineros de Fresnillo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leones Negros 2 is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros 2 won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
17.10.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Leones Negros 2	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Leones Negros 2 - Ensenada	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Zapotlanejo - Leones Negros 2	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	La Piedad - Leones Negros 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLW
- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.10.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Los Cabos United	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Tigres de Álica - Mineros de Fresnillo	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Tecos FC - Mineros de Fresnillo	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Guerreros de Autlán	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
26.04.25	Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:2
08.02.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2	2:1
05.10.24	Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:0
23.03.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2	1:1
21.10.23	Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	3:0
07.01.23	Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2	1:0
27.08.22	Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	3:1

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