Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 5

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme (San Benedetto del Tronto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Sambenedettese		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.10	2.45
	2.63	3.05	2.35	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.60
	2.66	3.27	2.47	Watch
	2.80	3.00	2.55
	2.71	3.23	2.56	Watch
	2.65	3.20	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.61)	3.16 ↓ (3.26)	2.49 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
34.1%

Draw
29.1%

Atalanta U23
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.2%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

27.1%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Sambenedettese - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 4. Zini A. 15. Gigli N. 29. Camigliano A. 21. Perrotta F. 14. Plicco E. 8. Tunjov G. 18. Candellori K. (C) 30. Nicoli S. 7. Faggioli A. 9. Sgarbi L.	22. Anelli A. (G) 2. Idele J. 14. Mirra J. 5. Plaia M. 33. Bergonzi F. 47. Levak S. 8. Pounga D. K. 24. Ghislandi D. (C) 10. Bonanomi A. 29. Diao S. 80. De Nipoti T.
Substitutes
81. Barraco A. (G) 38. Buljan L. 20. Carinelli M. 5. Chelli M. 1. Cultraro G. (G) 23. De Angelis E. 90. Kosijer S. 28. Machin J. 10. Marranzino P. 17. Pezzola L. 6. Piccoli M. 11. Stabile D. P. 37. Toure M.	12. Bertini T. (G) 28. Bertolini G. 1. Bugli G. (G) 45. Camara H. 18. Guerini A. 23. Isoa I. 7. Manzoni A. 91. Mencaraglia F. 9. Misitano G. 37. Navarro A. 79. Pedretti M. 43. Puljic L. 77. Rinaldi A. 3. Simonetto F. 21. Steffanoni F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Levak S. ⚽,
29', Levak S. 🟨,
36', Zini A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Ghislandi D. ↓, Steffanoni F. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Camigliano A. ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, Diao S. ⚽, Levak S. (A),
61', Idele J. ↓, Guerini A. ↑,
61', Bonanomi A. ↓, Bertolini G. ↑,
61', Perrotta F. ↓, Marranzino P. ↑,
62', Faggioli A. ↓, Stabile D. P. ↑,
63', Plaia M. 🟨,
67', 1 - 3, De Nipoti T. ⚽, Bertolini G. (A),
75', Levak S. ↓, Mencaraglia F. ↑,
77', Sgarbi L. 🟨,
79', Gigli N. ↓, Chelli M. ↑,
82', De Nipoti T. ↓, Misitano G. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Nicoli S. ⚽, Chelli M. (A),
88', Bertolini G. 🟨,
90+1', Plicco E. ↓, Carinelli M. ↑,
90+3', Candellori K. 🟨,

Preview

Sambenedettese is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atalanta U23's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sambenedettese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Atalanta U23	6	3	0	3	7:9	-2	9
19	Sambenedettese	8	1	2	5	11:14	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Atalanta U23 - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.61%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
12.09.26	Pineto - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Sambenedettese - Spezia	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Altamura - Sambenedettese	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.08.26	Sassari Torres - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Sambenedettese - Forlì	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group B
12.09.26	Atalanta U23 - Pescara	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Livorno - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Atalanta U23 - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Vado - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Cittadella - Atalanta U23	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLL

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