Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Atletico Ascoli		Termoli

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.35	3.85
	1.85	3.4	3.89	Watch
	1.81	3.32	4.04
	1.84	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.75)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	3.9 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Ascoli
49.7%

Draw
27%

Termoli
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

25.3%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Termoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termoli than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Atletico Ascoli - Termoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Maio F. (Penalty Awarded),
52', 1 - 1, Colabella M. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Atletico Ascoli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Termoli is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Atletico Ascoli is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atletico Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atletico Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Termoli	6	2	1	3	4:5	-1	7
14	Atletico Ascoli	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Ascoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
18.01.26	Ancona - Atletico Ascoli	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Atletico Ascoli - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	L Aquila - Atletico Ascoli	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Teramo - Atletico Ascoli	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Atletico Ascoli - Sammaurese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTWWW
- Termoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
18.01.26	Termoli - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Ancona - Termoli	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Termoli - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	L Aquila - Termoli	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Termoli - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
24.09.25	Termoli - Atletico Ascoli	3:1
27.04.25	Termoli - Atletico Ascoli	0:0
15.12.24	Atletico Ascoli - Termoli	1:2
14.01.24	Atletico Ascoli - Termoli	1:2

Atletico Ascoli - Termoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide