The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Sambenedettese 40.8%
Draw 31%
Vis Pesaro 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
26.7%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
26.2%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vis Pesaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vis Pesaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Cultraro G. (G) 15. Zoboletti A. 21. Dalmazzi A. 17. Pezzola L. 7. Marranzino P. 18. Candellori K. 80. Piccoli M. 37. Toure M. 11. Battista N. 47. Konate A. 9. Eusepi U. (C)
1. Pozzi A. (G) 13. Primasso A. 4. Bove D. 6. Di Renzo G. 3. Zoia R. 7. Pucciarelli M. 17. Paganini L. 21. Vezzoni F. 20. Giovannini R. 9. Nicastro F. 11. Stabile D. P.
Substitutes
24. Alfieri V. 8. Bongelli R. 12. Grillo M. (G) 6. Lulli L. 1. Orsini T. (G) 10. Sbaffo A. 94. Tataranni F. 23. Toure N. 19. Vesprini R. 4. Zini A.
77. Ascione S. 30. Beghetto A. 24. Berengo N. 33. Bocs R. 10. Di Paola M. 72. Franchetti Rosada L. 22. Fratti D. (G) 16. Guarnone A. (G) 8. Nina C. 5. Tonucci D. 99. Ventre A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Stabile D. P. 🟨,
38', Battista N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Di Renzo G. ↓, Di Paola M. ↑,
49', Battista N. 🟨,
55', Stabile D. P. ↓, Berengo N. ↑,
56', Vezzoni F. 🟨,
58', Marranzino P. ↓, Toure N. ↑,
58', Eusepi U. ↓, Alfieri V. ↑,
69', Bove D. 🟨,
74', 0 - 1, Primasso A. ⚽,
77', Alfieri V. 🟥,
78', Giovannini R. ↓, Nina C. ↑,
88', Piccoli M. ↓, Sbaffo A. ↑,
88', Toure M. ↓, Bongelli R. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Primasso A. ⚽,
90+4', Nicastro F. ↓, Ventre A. ↑,
90+5', Paganini L. ↓, Ascione S. ↑,
90+5', Sbaffo A. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sambenedettese won 3.
Sambenedettese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Vis Pesaro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Vis Pesaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sambenedettese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sambenedettese won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sambenedettese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Sambenedettese - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.66%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Italy
Watch
#ad
Cultraro G. (G) 
Toure M. 
Konate A. 
Vezzoni F. 
Bocs R. 
