Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Athletic Palermo		Gelbison Cilento

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.25	3
	1.90	3.38	3.70	Watch
	2.12	3.18	3.17
	1.87	3.35	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.52)	3.29 ↓ (3.5)	3.42 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Palermo
45.6%

Draw
27.7%

Gelbison Cilento
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

25.7%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

25.1%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Palermo's performance.

Gelbison Cilento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gelbison Cilento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Palermo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gelbison Cilento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athletic Palermo - Gelbison Cilento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Bova F. ⚽,
22', (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Athletic Palermo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gelbison Cilento has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gelbison Cilento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Athletic Palermo is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Palermo
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.11.25	Reggina - Athletic Palermo	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Paternò - Athletic Palermo	3:2 ✺
26.10.25	Athletic Palermo - Sambiase	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Gela - Athletic Palermo	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Athletic Palermo - Enna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WLWWT
- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - ACR Messina	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Gelbison Cilento	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - Savoia	2:6 ✺
26.10.25	Vigor Lamezia - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Ragusa - Gelbison Cilento	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWT

Athletic Palermo - Gelbison Cilento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide