Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 17

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: 26 May Stadium (Tsqaltubo)

Referee: Kruashvili G. (Geo)


	Samgurali Tskhaltubo		Torpedo Kutaisi

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.25	2.05
	3.25	3.25	2	Watch
	3.35	3.5	2.07
	3.34	3.28	2.07	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2
	3.25	3.3	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.48)	3.28 ↓ (3.52)	2.04 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samgurali Tskhaltubo
28%

Draw
27.6%

Torpedo Kutaisi
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

26.1%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25.5%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samgurali Tskhaltubo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Torpedo Kutaisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samgurali Tskhaltubo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Torpedo Kutaisi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Samgurali will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Torpedo Kutaisi will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Samgurali (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Samgurali (2.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Samgurali (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kutaladze L. (G) 2. Kvaratskhelia L. 25. Shatirishvili M. 39. Ryan 27. Shergelashvili L. (C) 5. Janjgava I. 20. Vinicius Vianna 17. Tsetskhladze N. 15. Carlos J. 11. Wellissol 28. Claudio Cebolinha	31. Kljajic F. (G) 2. Warley 16. Mane S. 22. Bukia D. 5. Nadaraia T. 11. Arabidze G. 6. Cherif M. 7. Mamuchashvili V. (C) 18. Zita K. 35. Deisadze D. 9. Andric K.
Substitutes
6. Aptsiauri O. 8. Berelidze T. 18. Chkhetiani S. 22. Gogia G. 10. Gogolashvili G. 3. Jarjue Kabia A. 33. Jefinho 9. Papava L. 21. Siukaev A. (G)	17. Bliznichenko V. 29. Chitaishvili M. 1. Goshadze O. (G) 15. Kuprava L. 19. Pertaia D. 36. Pridonishvili L. 37. Tsikoridze T.
Coaches
Oniani G.	Schuster D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Zita K. 🟨,
21', Mamuchashvili V. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Claudio Cebolinha ⚽,
37', Carlos J. 🟨,
43', Shatirishvili M. 🟨,
45+1', Vinicius Vianna 🟨,
45+1', Mane S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zita K. ↓, Bliznichenko V. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Shatirishvili M. ⚽, Vinicius Vianna (A),
64', Nadaraia T. ↓, Chitaishvili M. ↑,
66', Deisadze D. 🟨,
69', Claudio Cebolinha ↓, Papava L. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Andric K. ⚽, Bliznichenko V. (A),
83', 🟨,
83', Mane S. 🟨,
85', Carlos J. ↓, Aptsiauri O. ↑,
85', Tsetskhladze N. ↓, Gogia G. ↑,
88', Cherif M. ↓, Kuprava L. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+6', Janjgava I. ↓, Berelidze T. ↑,
90+6', Wellissol ↓, Jarjue Kabia A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samgurali won 0.

Samgurali has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torpedo Kutaisi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Torpedo Kutaisi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Samgurali won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Samgurali won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	27	9	9	9	43:34	9	36
7	Samgurali	27	9	5	13	38:52	-14	32

Last Results with these Odds

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.42%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
29.05.26	Dila Gori - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:3 ✺
25.05.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Iberia 1999	3:2 ✺
21.05.26	Rustavi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Spaeri	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Dinamo Batumi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLTL
- Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
28.05.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Gagra	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:1 ✺
20.05.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:4 ✺
15.05.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dila Gori	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
21.04.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	6:1
22.11.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:4
13.09.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	6:2
15.05.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:1
05.04.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:1
01.12.24	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:1
26.09.24	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:0

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