Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 14

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: David Petriashvili Stadium (Tbilisi)

Referee: Shengelia I. (Geo)


	Rustavi		Samgurali Tskhaltubo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.9	Watch
	1.86	3.35	4.23
	1.87	3.28	4.03	Watch
	1.83	3	4
	1.84	3.2	4.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2)	3.21 ↓ (3.51)	4.05 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rustavi
49.2%

Draw
28.4%

Samgurali Tskhaltubo
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.2%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

25.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rustavi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Samgurali Tskhaltubo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samgurali Tskhaltubo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rustavi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samgurali Tskhaltubo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Rustavi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rustavi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rustavi will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Roland J. (G) 27. Kapanadze M. 24. Iakobidze I. 3. Patsatsia V. 19. Chikovani N. 22. Nakano Y. 13. Gujabidze A. (C) 40. Ubilava D. 11. Kessi S. 10. Osei P. 14. Kutateladze N.	1. Kutaladze L. (C) 13. Gegetchkori L. 25. Shatirishvili M. 20. Vinicius Vianna 39. Ryan 15. Carlos J. 8. Berelidze T. 6. Aptsiauri O. 5. Janjgava I. 9. Papava L. 10. Gogolashvili G.
Substitutes
5. Ceijas K. 30. Chkheidze G. 4. David Oliveira 7. Jackson Kenio 9. Jean 17. Jibril B. 1. Kardava S. (G) 23. Kutateladze A. 6. Pami M.	18. Chkhetiani S. 28. Claudio Cebolinha 3. Jarjue Kabia A. 33. Jefinho 2. Kvaratskhelia L. 27. Shergelashvili L. 21. Siukaev A. (G) 17. Tsetskhladze N. 11. Wellissol
Coaches
Tsetsadze G.	Oniani G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Kessi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Ryan 🟨,
62', Berelidze T. ↓, Claudio Cebolinha ↑,
65', Ubilava D. ↓, Ceijas K. ↑,
65', Kutateladze N. ↓, Jean ↑,
69', Gogolashvili G. ↓, Wellissol ↑,
74', Kessi S. ↓, David Oliveira ↑,
81', Ryan ↓, Shergelashvili L. ↑,
81', Aptsiauri O. ↓, Jefinho ↑,
81', Carlos J. ↓, Tsetskhladze N. ↑,
83', Shatirishvili M. 🟨,
84', Nakano Y. ↓, Pami M. ↑,
84', Osei P. ↓, Jackson Kenio ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 and 8 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Samgurali has had a series of home games.

Rustavi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rustavi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Rustavi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Rustavi	27	13	7	7	32:23	9	46
7	Samgurali	27	9	5	13	38:52	-14	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rustavi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
16.05.26	Gagra - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Rustavi - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:3 ✺
05.05.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Rustavi - Dila Gori	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Rustavi - Iberia 1999	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TLTWW
- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
17.05.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Spaeri	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Dinamo Batumi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	3:1 ✺
06.05.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Meshakhte Tkibuli	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
03.04.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Rustavi	2:1
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
22.09.20	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Rustavi	2:1
02.03.20	Rustavi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:1
Georgian Cup
12.06.18	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Rustavi	2:3 penalties

Rustavi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide