Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 14

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Agrano Vachadze Stadium (Ambrolauri)

Referee: Aptsiauri A. (Geo)


	Meshakhte Tkibuli		Torpedo Kutaisi

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.85	1.52	Watch
	5.88	3.95	1.57
	4.68	3.86	1.63	Watch
	5.5	3.5	1.53
	5.88	3.72	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.42 ↑ (4.36)	3.78 ↑ (3.62)	1.55 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meshakhte Tkibuli
16.9%

Draw
24.2%

Torpedo Kutaisi
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.4%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

24.8%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meshakhte Tkibuli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Torpedo Kutaisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torpedo Kutaisi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meshakhte Tkibuli than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Meshakhte Tkibuli - Torpedo Kutaisi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Torpedo Kutaisi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Torpedo Kutaisi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Shovnadze L. (G) 26. Gabiskiria B. 20. Kurdadze L. 40. Ugrekhelidze L. 13. Burduli G. (C) 5. Abuladze N. 10. Ghurtskaia D. 30. Pyrogov M. 21. Chikhladze L. 11. Kvirkvia M. 9. Sikharulidze I.	31. Kljajic F. (G) 6. Cherif M. 16. Mane S. 4. Simic M. 26. Basiladze A. 11. Arabidze G. 8. Itrak M. 7. Mamuchashvili V. (C) 14. Felipe Pires 9. Andric K. 35. Deisadze D.
Substitutes
19. Dgebuadze I. 16. Gegia G. 3. Glunchadze G. 14. Jikia M. 15. Mekhtievi I. 25. Novruzov R. 22. Sikalo T. 4. Tereladze M. 1. Tkeshelashvili L. (G)	30. Antia T. 17. Bliznichenko V. 22. Bukia D. 1. Goshadze O. (G) 13. Katkov G. 15. Kuprava L. 5. Nadaraia T. 2. Warley
Coaches
Burduli V.	Schuster D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Basiladze A. ↓, Nadaraia T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
48', Sikharulidze I. 🟨,
48', Mamuchashvili V. 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Chikhladze L. ⚽,
52', 1 - 1, Andric K. ⚽,
59', Cherif M. 🟨,
61', Cherif M. ↓, Warley ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Andric K. ⚽, Deisadze D. (A),
68', 1 - 3, Andric K. ⚽, Arabidze G. (A),
71', Abuladze N. ↓, Mekhtievi I. ↑,
72', Kvirkvia M. ↓, Dgebuadze I. ↑,
72', Chikhladze L. ↓, Sikalo T. ↑,
78', 1 - 4, Arabidze G. ⚽, Andric K. (A),
79', Pyrogov M. ↓, Jikia M. ↑,
85', Sikharulidze I. ↓, Novruzov R. ↑,
88', Felipe Pires ↓, Kuprava L. ↑,
88', Arabidze G. ↓, Bukia D. ↑,
90+3', Mekhtievi I. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 and 3).

Meshakhte has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Torpedo Kutaisi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Torpedo Kutaisi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Torpedo Kutaisi is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Meshakhte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	27	9	9	9	43:34	9	36
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	27	2	11	14	20:44	-24	17

Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo Kutaisi - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.49%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meshakhte Tkibuli
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
16.05.26	Dinamo Batumi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Dila Gori	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Meshakhte Tkibuli	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Iberia 1999	1:4 ✺
27.04.26	Gagra - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLT
- Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
15.05.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dila Gori	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1 ✺
05.05.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Spaeri - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Dinamo Batumi - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
03.04.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	3:0

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