Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 13

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: 26 May Stadium (Tsqaltubo)

Referee: Kherkhadze I. (Geo)


	Samgurali Tskhaltubo		Spaeri

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.1
	1.98	3.1	3.45	Watch
	2.01	3.22	3.95
	1.98	3.52	3.36	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.6
	1.97	3.52	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)	3.28 ↑ (3.26)	3.51 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samgurali Tskhaltubo
46.3%

Draw
27.8%

Spaeri
25.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.2%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samgurali Tskhaltubo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Spaeri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samgurali Tskhaltubo than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samgurali Tskhaltubo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spaeri than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spaeri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Spaeri Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Samgurali will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Spaeri will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kutaladze L. (G) 13. Gegetchkori L. 25. Shatirishvili M. 39. Ryan 27. Shergelashvili L. 5. Janjgava I. 20. Vinicius Vianna 11. Wellissol 33. Jefinho (C) 15. Carlos J. 28. Claudio Cebolinha	1. Putkaradze B. (G) 22. Chagunava N. 20. Kentchadze N. (C) 31. Bunturi G. 14. Samkharadze G. 13. Mathenjwa S. 6. Askurava T. 10. Tsetskhladze T. 19. Tsirdava G. 9. Tsetskhladze G. 17. Kokhreidze L.
Substitutes
6. Aptsiauri O. 18. Chkhetiani S. 22. Gogia G. 10. Gogolashvili G. 3. Jarjue Kabia A. 2. Kvaratskhelia L. 9. Papava L. 21. Siukaev A. (G) 17. Tsetskhladze N.	30. Basilashvili Z. 23. Chomakhidze N. (G) 16. Dzneladze S. 24. Golubiani Z. 21. Gordeziani O. 4. Grigalashvili G. 3. Kachibaia L. 2. Pirtakhia G. 11. Poniava P.
Coaches
Oniani G.	Kighuradze A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Jefinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wellissol ↓, Tsetskhladze N. ↑,
46', Jefinho ↓, Papava L. ↑,
54', Chagunava N. 🟨,
71', Tsetskhladze T. 🟨,
74', Tsetskhladze G. ↓, Poniava P. ↑,
77', Janjgava I. ↓, Aptsiauri O. ↑,
77', Claudio Cebolinha ↓, Gogolashvili G. ↑,
78', Mathenjwa S. ↓, Golubiani Z. ↑,
83', Askurava T. ↓, Basilashvili Z. ↑,
84', Carlos J. ↓, Chkhetiani S. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation) and 7)

In recent matches, Samgurali has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spaeri is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Spaeri has had a series of home games.

Samgurali is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samgurali won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Samgurali	29	11	5	13	43:52	-9	38
9	Spaeri	29	5	11	13	38:49	-11	26

Last Results with these Odds

Spaeri - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.29%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.05.26	Dinamo Batumi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	3:1 ✺
06.05.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Meshakhte Tkibuli	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLL
- Spaeri FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
11.05.26	Spaeri - Gagra	3:0 ✺
07.05.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Spaeri	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Spaeri - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Spaeri - Dila Gori	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Spaeri - Iberia 1999	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
16.03.26	Spaeri - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	4:1

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