The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sammaurese 16.3%
Draw 24.4%
AC Carpi 59.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.7%
28.4%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.8%
28.5%
51.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
AC Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AC Carpi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Carpi than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AC Carpi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Arrondini D. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Cortesi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 3, Tcheuna R. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Sammaurese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Carpi in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
In this match Carpi is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Sammaurese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Sammaurese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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