Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Da Murteira (Samora Correia)


	Samora Correia		SB Castelo Branco

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.98	2.02
	4.01	2.99	1.91
	3.61	2.97	2.09	Watch
	3.8	2.75	2
	3.42	3.42	2.02
	4	3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.69)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)	1.99 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samora Correia
24.3%

Draw
30.1%

SB Castelo Branco
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

31.2%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

31.1%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samora Correia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Samora Correia - SB Castelo Branco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 🟥,
77', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Recent form of Samora Correia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

SB Castelo Branco is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

SB Castelo Branco will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
07.12.25	Eléctrico - Samora Correia	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Samora Correia - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Os Marialvas - Samora Correia	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Samora Correia - Naval	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Mortágua - Samora Correia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLTT
- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
07.12.25	SB Castelo Branco - Peniche	5:0 ✺
29.11.25	Oliveira Hospital - SB Castelo Branco	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	SC Lusitânia - SB Castelo Branco	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	SB Castelo Branco - União da Serra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWW

Samora Correia - SB Castelo Branco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide