Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 10

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Da Murteira (Samora Correia)


	Samora Correia		Vitória de Sernache

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.35	1.68
	4.41	3.39	1.75	Watch
	4.75	3.38	1.68
	4.33	3.33	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (4.2)	3.36 ↑ (3.33)	1.71 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samora Correia
20.1%

Draw
26.9%

Vitória de Sernache
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

27.1%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samora Correia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Samora Correia - Vitória de Sernache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Samora Correia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sernache is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Samora Correia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sernache is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.11.25	Os Marialvas - Samora Correia	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Samora Correia - Naval	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Mortágua - Samora Correia	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Samora Correia - Fatima	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Lajense - Samora Correia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTLL
- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
16.11.25	Vitória de Sernache - Lajense	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Vitória de Sernache - Peniche	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vitória de Sernache - Marinhense	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	SC Lusitânia - Vitória de Sernache	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTWW

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