Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20		Madureira U20

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.20	2.45
	2.52	3.3	2.38
	2.47	3.14	2.49
	2.48	3.39	2.53
	2.4	3.05	2.4
	2.43	3.4	2.4
	2.55	3.4	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.75)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	2.44 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa FE U20
36.1%

Draw
27.3%

Madureira U20
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

26.3%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

25.3%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Madureira U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madureira U20 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Madureira U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Madureira U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 7th in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

Recent results have been tough for Sampaio Corrêa U20 (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Madureira U20 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sampaio Corrêa U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Sampaio Corrêa U20 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sampaio Corrêa U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sampaio Correa FE U20	9	4	2	3	12:17	-5	14
7	Madureira U20	9	1	6	2	10:13	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa FE U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
02.10.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Boavista SC U20	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Fluminense U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	5:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTL
- Madureira U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
03.10.26	Madureira U20 - Boavista SC U20	1:1 ✺
30.09.26	Madureira U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Madureira U20	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Madureira U20 - Portuguesa RJ U20	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Maricá U20 - Madureira U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca U20
11.10.25	Madureira U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	2:1
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
12.04.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Madureira U20	0:1
Brazilian Carioca U20
29.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Madureira U20	2:2

Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Madureira U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide