Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 32

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Ceará		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.6
	1.72	3.5	5	Watch
	1.77	3.37	5.74
	1.7	3.5	4.8
	1.74	3.5	4.95	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)	3.42 ↑ (3.31)	4.97 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
53.9%

Draw
27.3%

Sampaio Corrêa
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

28.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

30.7%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Sampaio Corrêa aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Richard (G) 17. Warley 3. Tiago Pagnussat (C) 2. Lucas Ribeiro 4. David Ricardo 98. Leo Santos 11. Erick 10. Jean Carlos 30. Chrystian Barletta 77. Janderson 89. Cleber	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Mateus Pivo 4. Gustavo Henrique 14. Icaro 13. Alyson Neves 5. Lucas Mota 7. Claudinei 8. Ferreira 10. Robinho 11. Henrique 23. Ytalo
Substitutes
67. Andre Luiz (G) 5. Caique 23. Danilo Barcelos 16. Erick Pulga 99. Guilherme Castilho 9. Nicolas 27. Pedrinho 19. Pedro Lucas 6. Richardson 73. Saulo Mineiro 22. Willian Formiga 7. Ze Ricardo	3. Fabio Aguiar 21. Gabriel Silva 9. Jo 16. Joao Diogo 20. Mauricio Maranhao 15. Patrick Allan 17. Riquelmo 12. Thiago Braga (G) 18. Thiaguinho 22. Vinicius Alves 19. Vitinho
Coaches
Mancini V.	Fernando Marchiori

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ceará won 3.

Ceará is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ceará is a favorite.

There will not play in Ceará: Michel Macedo (Injury) Paulo Victor (Injury)

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Getterson (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Ceará won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Ceará won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
06.10.23	CRB Maceio - Ceará	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Ceará - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Chapecoense - Ceará	1:1 ✺
18.09.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ceará	4:1 ✺
06.09.23	Ceará - Londrina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTLW
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
28.09.23	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
19.09.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.06.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.23	Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0
12.02.22	Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
18.04.21	Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0
17.01.19	Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa	5:0
10.03.18	Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1
15.02.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará	1:0

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