Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Sampaio Corrêa		Floresta

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	5.75
	1.57	3.25	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.15	5.4
	1.67	3.28	5.78
	1.6	3.3	5.5
	1.72	3.34	5.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)	3.3 ↓ (3.5)	5.54 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
55.8%

Draw
27.7%

Floresta
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

26.3%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

15.7%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Floresta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Floresta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sampaio Corrêa - Floresta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 5 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Floresta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sampaio Corrêa is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
16.02.22	Sousa - Sampaio Corrêa	3:2 ✺
12.02.22	Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
08.02.22	IAPE - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
02.02.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Pinheiro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWLW
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.02.22	Floresta - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	Floresta - Campinense	4:3 ✺
08.02.22	CS Alagoano - Floresta	2:0 ✺
02.02.22	Floresta - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
29.01.22	Globo FC - Floresta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLT

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