Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 9

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	CS Alagoano		Floresta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	3.5	5.75
	1.55	3.4	5.7	Watch
	1.58	3.55	6.14
				Watch
	1.6	3.3	5.5
	1.57	3.42	5.89	Watch
	1.55	3.4	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.78)	3.43 ↑ (3.1)	5.78 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
58%

Draw
26.4%

Floresta
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

28.9%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

31.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CS Alagoano's performance.

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Floresta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

CS Alagoano - Floresta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): CS Alagoano will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Felix (G) 18. Baianinho 3. Betao 5. Camacho (C) 6. Enzo 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 8. Gustavo Nicola 4. Islan 10. Luciano Naninho 2. Ramon 9. Tiago Marques	1. Dalton (G) 25. Diogo Mourao 18. Guilherme Martineli 8. Guilherme Nunes 31. Icaro (C) 9. Jeam 2. Mateus Ludke 6. Rafael Furlan 7. Ruan 13. Thomas Kayck 3. Vitao
Substitutes
17. Cavalleri M. 25. Diogo Batista 20. Gabriel Vieira 12. Georgemy (G) 19. Igor Bahia 15. Kevyn 21. Klenisson 14. Leo Costa 13. Marcao 22. Marcelinho 16. Roberto 7. Silas	16. Davi Castro 22. Dheimison (G) 17. Diego Matos 27. Gustavo Ramos 15. Igor Dutra 4. Julio Vaz 20. Marco Antonio 29. Rodrigo 30. Romarinho 19. Rubens
Coaches
Higo	Leston Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Islan 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Baianinho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diogo Mourao ↓, Gustavo Ramos ↑,
54', Mateus Ludke 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Guilherme Cachoeira ⚽,
61', Luciano Naninho ↓, Gabriel Vieira ↑,
62', Tiago Marques ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
67', Mateus Ludke ↓, Igor Dutra ↑,
67', Ruan ↓, Romarinho ↑,
69', Baianinho ↓, Cavalleri M. ↑,
70', Guilherme Martineli ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
73', Jeam ↓, Rubens ↑,
84', Enzo ↓, Roberto ↑,
84', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Marcao ↑,
90+4', Gustavo Nicola 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 9).

Now, both teams are in good form.

CSA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, CSA has had a series of away games.

In this match, CSA is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, CSA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, CSA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.06.25	América RN - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
02.06.25	São Bernardo - CS Alagoano	1:3 ✺
24.05.25	CS Alagoano - Confiança	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.05.25	Grêmio - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.25	Tombense - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 WWTTT
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
31.05.25	Floresta - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Ituano - Floresta	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Floresta - Guarani	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Botafogo PB - Floresta	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Floresta - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
14.07.24	CS Alagoano - Floresta	1:2
14.05.23	Floresta - CS Alagoano	0:2
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.02.22	CS Alagoano - Floresta	2:0

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