Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 1

Date: 23 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere


	Bahia		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.75	12
	1.21	6	11.5
	1.23	5.09	18.57
	1.24	4.76	14.07
	1.22	5.5	13
	1.19	5.5	12.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.41)	5.27 ↑ (3.96)	13.66 ↑ (7.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
75.7%

Draw
17.6%

Sampaio Corrêa
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

23.1%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampaio Corrêa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Bahia - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Danilo Fernandes (G) 7. Ademir 11. Biel 14. Erick 4. Kanu (C) 71. Kaua Davi 46. Luciano Juba 21. Ramos S. 23. Rodrigo 17. Rodriguez L. 19. Silva C.	1. Alan (G) 9. Alan James 10. Alan Stence 5. Cavi 3. Eduardo 4. Fabio Aguiar (C) 8. Isaias 2. Jo 11. Pimentinha 6. Thiago Rosa 7. Thiaguinho
Substitutes
8. Cauly 16. Erick Pulga 9. Everaldo 10. Everton Ribeiro 2. Gilberto 6. Jean Lucas 22. Marcos Felipe (G) 44. Marcos Victor 26. Nicolas Acevedo 5. Rezende 77. Tiago 20. Yago Felipe	16. Adriano 18. Bruno Matos 17. Dodo 13. Galvao 15. Jair 14. Ray 12. Rhuan (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Erick ⚽,
32', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
45+3', Biel 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 3 - 0, Alan James (Own goal),
60', Biel ↓, Erick Pulga ↑,
60', Alan Stence ↓, Jair ↑,
60', Pimentinha ↓, Dodo ↑,
66', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
74', 4 - 0, Erick Pulga ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
19.01.25	Jacobina - Bahia	1:1 ✺
16.01.25	Bahia - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Jacuipense - Bahia	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Bahia - Atlético Goianiense	2:0 ✺
03.12.24	Corinthians - Bahia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTWL
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
15.01.25	IAPE - Sampaio Corrêa	0:3 ✺
11.01.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
24.08.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Confiança	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Ypiranga - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
12.08.24	Sampaio Corrêa - ABC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.01.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Bahia	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
09.08.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Bahia	2:0
26.04.22	Bahia - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.02.22	Bahia - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0
30.03.19	Sampaio Corrêa - Bahia	1:0
07.07.18	Bahia - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0
04.07.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Bahia	1:0

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