Match Info
Serie D - Round 8Date: 23 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Lourival Gomes (Saquarema)
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 |
|
 |
|
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Sampaio Corrêa FE |
|
Maricá |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.13 |
2.84 |
3.54 |
|
 |
2.23 |
2.73 |
3.68 |
 Watch |
 |
2.15 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
|
 |
2 |
3 |
3.86 |
|
 |
2.12 |
3 |
3.3 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12
(2.12) |
2.88 ↓
(3) |
3.51 ↑
(3.3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sampaio Corrêa FE
42.7% | Draw
31.5% | Maricá
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa FE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (+0.7%)Sampaio Corrêa FE - Maricá Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Pablo Thomaz ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', 1 - 1, Elias (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 3.Sampaio Corrêa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Maricá has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Sampaio Corrêa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Maricá has had a series of home games. Sampaio Corrêa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.5:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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