Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 5

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Sampaio Corrêa FE		Boavista

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.95	2.7
	2.68	3.15	2.58
	2.97	3.1	2.47
	2.55	3.07	2.84	Watch
	2.7	2.88	2.4
	3.01	3.11	2.41
	2.9	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.67)	3.07 ↑ (3.06)	2.55 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa FE
33.3%

Draw
30.2%

Boavista
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.4%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Sampaio Corrêa FE - Boavista Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ze Carlos (G) 2. Lucas Carvalho 3. Daniel Nunes 4. Lucas Marreta 6. Guilherme (C) 5. Pablo 7. Matheus Iacovelli 8. Alexandre Souza 20. Luan Gama 11. Cruz Manhaes O. 10. Rodrigo Andrade	1. Lucas Maticoli (G) 2. Cesinha 3. Gabriel Caran 4. Bruno Jesus 6. Titto 5. Emanuel Jesus 8. Kadu 11. Fellipinho 10. Isael (C) 7. Bere 9. Brunao
Substitutes
12. Eduardo (G) 9. Elias 22. Ewerton Potiguar 19. Gabriel Agu 16. Gregory 17. Joao Martini 21. Matheus Goiano 18. Paulo Victor 14. Rocha B. 15. Rodrigo Dantas 13. Ryan Andrade 31. Ze Pompeu (G)	13. Andre Fausto 16. Fernando 20. Gabriel Richvicki 14. Guilherme Lacerda 19. Gui Sales 21. Igor Franca 22. Khawhan 18. Leandrinho 17. Lucas Silva 23. Marcus Vinicius 12. Matheus (G) 15. Ryan Couto
Coaches
Roy A.	Gilson Kleina

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Luan Gama 🟨,
16', Pablo 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Isael ⚽, Titto (A),
36', Kadu 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Guilherme ⚽, Rodrigo Andrade (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Titto ↓, Marcus Vinicius ↑,
46', Kadu ↓, Ryan Couto ↑,
46', Pablo ↓, Joao Martini ↑,
57', Matheus Iacovelli ↓, Elias ↑,
57', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
65', Cruz Manhaes O. ↓, Matheus Goiano ↑,
69', Emanuel Jesus 🟨,
69', Ryan Couto 🟨,
72', Elias ↓, Ewerton Potiguar ↑,
74', Bere ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
74', Emanuel Jesus ↓, Fernando ↑,
79', Daniel Nunes 🟨,
81', Brunao ↓, Gui Sales ↑,

Preview

Boavista may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
27.01.26	Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
20.08.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Araruama	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWLL
- Boavista SC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
25.01.26	Boavista - Vasco da Gama	0:3 ✺
22.01.26	Boavista - Portuguesa RJ	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Boavista - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Volta Redonda - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
13.08.25	Boavista - Cabofriense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
09.03.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Boavista	3:0
06.03.25	Boavista - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:0
23.01.25	Boavista - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:1
25.02.24	Boavista - Sampaio Corrêa FE	3:2

Sampaio Corrêa FE - Boavista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide