Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 6

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere, SporTV


	Flamengo		Sampaio Corrêa FE

	1	X	2
	1.05	9.6	33
	1.03	8.5	17
	1.08	8.66	33.87	Watch
	1.06	8.5	81
	1.05	8.4	28
	1.06	11	36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.15)	9.11 ↑ (6.12)	38.15 ↑ (23.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
87.5%

Draw
10.1%

Sampaio Corrêa FE
2.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.8%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.

Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Flamengo - Sampaio Corrêa FE Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 22. Emerson Royal 13. Danilo (C) 44. Vitao 6. Ayrton Lucas 52. Evertton Araujo 20. Lucas Paqueta 19. Plata G. 15. Carrascal J. 16. Samuel Lino 9. Pedro	1. Ze Carlos (G) 2. Lucas Carvalho 3. Daniel Nunes 4. Lucas Marreta 6. Guilherme (C) 5. Joao Martini 11. Cruz Manhaes O. 8. Alexandre Souza 10. Rodrigo Andrade 7. Luan Gama 9. Matheus Goiano
Substitutes
27. Bruno Henrique 51. Daniel Sales 81. Douglas Telles 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 11. Everton 47. Guilherme Gomes 80. Joao Camargo 61. Joao Victor 4. Leo Pereira 56. Pablo Lucio 5. Pulgar E. 64. Wallace Yan	24. Caique 12. Eduardo (G) 20. Ewerton Potiguar 19. Gabriel Agu 17. Gregory 18. Lecaros A. 15. Magno 21. Matheus Iacovelli 22. Paulo Victor 14. Rocha B. 16. Rodrigo Dantas 13. Ryan Andrade 23. Ze Pompeu (G)
Coaches
Filipe Luis	Roy A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', Alexandre Souza ↓, Gabriel Agu ↑,
16', 1 - 0, Pedro ⚽, Carrascal J. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Pedro ⚽, Samuel Lino (A),
45+7', 2 - 1, Rodrigo Andrade ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Matheus Goiano ↓, Matheus Iacovelli ↑,
46', Plata G. ↓, Pulgar E. ↑,
56', Pedro ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
56', Carrascal J. ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
57', Lucas Carvalho ↓, Ryan Andrade ↑,
58', 3 - 1, Bruno Henrique ⚽, Samuel Lino (A),
67', 4 - 1, Samuel Lino ⚽, Emerson Royal (A),
69', Lucas Paqueta ↓, Everton ↑,
70', 5 - 1, Everton ⚽, Emerson Royal (A),
71', Joao Martini ↓, Rodrigo Dantas ↑,
71', Cruz Manhaes O. ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
73', Samuel Lino ↓, Douglas Telles ↑,
83', 6 - 1, Douglas Telles ⚽, Bruno Henrique (A),
90+1', 7 - 1, Bruno Henrique (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Flamengo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sampaio Corrêa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sampaio Corrêa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Flamengo is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Including home match between the teams, Flamengo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Flamengo - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Supercopa do Brasil
01.02.26	Flamengo - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	São Paulo - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
25.01.26	Fluminense - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLW
- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
30.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Boavista	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
30.01.25	Flamengo - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:0
31.01.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Flamengo	0:2

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