Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lourival Gomes (Saquarema)


	Sampaio Corrêa FE		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.00	1.85
	3.90	3.05	1.91
	4.63	3.02	1.72
	4.19	3.19	1.87
	4.00	2.90	1.85
	5.01	3.13	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↓ (4.76)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	1.82 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa FE
21%

Draw
29.5%

Portuguesa
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

28.6%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

27.9%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa FE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+4%)

Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Ryan ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, Matheus Cadorini ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Sampaio Corrêa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Portuguesa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Portuguesa is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Serie D
07.06.26	EC Noroeste - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Maricá	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Nova Iguaçu - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Piracicaba - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLL
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Serie D
06.06.26	Portuguesa - Portuguesa RJ	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Portuguesa - America RJ	4:1 ✺
16.05.26	Portuguesa - Água Santa	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Madureira - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWTL

Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide