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Current Win Probability
Sampdoria 48.1%
Draw 27.2%
Catanzaro 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
29%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
28.1%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampdoria's performance.
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Sampdoria - Catanzaro Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vindahl P. (G) 29. Di Pardo A. 3. Gartenmann S. 15. Delli Carri F. 7. Cicconi M. 6. Henderson L. (C) 45. Makoumbou A. 28. Abildgaard O. 16. Verschaeren Y. 10. Insigne L. 9. Lauritsen T.
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 24. Ruggero M. 4. Matias Antonini 3. Imperiale M. 93. Dorval M. 10. Petriccione J. (C) 98. Mosti N. 30. Alesi G. 20. Pafundi S. 9. Iemmello P. 19. Koffi N.
Substitutes
11. Begic T. 94. Esposito Sa. 25. Ferrari A. 14. Karamoh Y. 12. Krastev A. (G) 96. Massolo S. (G) 43. Mbabu K. 13. Ravanelli L. 20. Sinani D. 99. Tutino G.
7. Buso N. 27. Candela A. 21. Cassa F. 29. Di Francesco F. 62. Frosinini R. 18. Garnica A. 14. Giovane S. 1. Marietta C. (G) 31. Pecorino E. 80. Reita F. 28. Tchaouna F. 26. Verrengia B.
Coaches
Corradi B.
Gorgone G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Henderson L. 🟨,
17', Iemmello P. 🟨,
38', Gartenmann S. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Gartenmann S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Makoumbou A. ↓, Esposito Sa. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Insigne L. ⚽, Lauritsen T. (A),
63', Ruggero M. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
63', Dorval M. ↓, Candela A. ↑,
64', Abildgaard O. 🟥,
66', Koffi N. 🟨,
70', Koffi N. ↓, Pecorino E. ↑,
70', Mosti N. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
70', Insigne L. ↓, Begic T. ↑,
70', Verschaeren Y. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
75', Giovane S. 🟨,
79', Lauritsen T. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
79', Henderson L. ↓, Mbabu K. ↑,
84', Pafundi S. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Begic T. ⚽,
90+5', Mbabu K. 🟨,
90+6', Matias Antonini 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 1.
Sampdoria has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Catanzaro has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Sampdoria has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sampdoria holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Sampdoria: Conti F.
(Inactive)
Depaoli F.
(Inactive)
Esposito Sa.
(Inactive)
Meijer B.
(Injury)
Sekulov N.
(Inactive)
Viti M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Catanzaro: D'Alessandro M.
(Injury).
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Sampdoria has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:8 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sampdoria against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).
Outrights of Italian Serie B for now
Sampdoria: 2.65% Catanzaro: 0.97%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Sampdoria
5
1
1
3
5:9
-4
4
18
Catanzaro
5
1
0
4
5:9
-4
3
Last Results with these Odds
Catanzaro - the odds 3.24 are the expected chance of winning is 28.52%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.