Match Info

Serie B - Round 6

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	SportyNet
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Turkey	Sifir
International	OneFootball TV


	Avellino		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.20	2.57	Watch
	2.70	3.20	2.55
	2.55	3.20	2.70	Watch
	2.87	3.19	2.82
	2.7	3.09	2.7	Watch
	2.80	3.00	2.75
	2.63	3.22	2.77	Watch
	2.70	3.20	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.74)	3.16 ↑ (3.13)	2.68 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
34.9%

Draw
29.9%

Sampdoria
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

30.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Avellino - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avellino: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Avellino (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Avellino (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Avellino (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Martinelli T. (G) 4. Izzo A. 23. Venturi M. 56. Enrici P. 2. Missori F. 20. Palumbo M. 6. Palmiero L. (C) 39. Besaggio M. 27. Moruzzi B. 10. Russo R. 9. Cheddira W.	1. Vindahl P. (G) 29. Di Pardo A. 3. Gartenmann S. 15. Delli Carri F. 7. Cicconi M. 6. Henderson L. (C) 45. Makoumbou A. 16. Verschaeren Y. 14. Karamoh Y. 10. Insigne L. 9. Lauritsen T.
Substitutes
30. Adamo E. 18. Berenbruch T. 14. Biasci T. 5. Di Bitonto A. 77. Di Paolo S. 16. Faticanti G. 99. Favilli A. 1. Iannarilli A. (G) 7. Pandolfi L. 3. Sala M. 44. Simic L. 24. Sounas D.	11. Begic T. 42. Cosi L. 23. Depaoli F. 25. Ferrari A. 12. Krastev A. (G) 96. Massolo S. (G) 43. Mbabu K. 13. Ravanelli L. 99. Tutino G.
Coaches
Nesta A.	Corradi B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Cheddira W. ⚽, Moruzzi B. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Insigne L. ⚽, Lauritsen T. (A),
20', 2 - 1, Palumbo M. ⚽, Russo R. (A),
24', 3 - 1, Russo R. ⚽, Moruzzi B. (A),
29', 4 - 1, Besaggio M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Karamoh Y. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
59', Cheddira W. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
59', Palmiero L. ↓, Faticanti G. ↑,
61', Verschaeren Y. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
68', Lauritsen T. ↓, Begic T. ↑,
68', Henderson L. ↓, Depaoli F. ↑,
71', Venturi M. 🟨,
76', Palumbo M. ↓, Sounas D. ↑,
76', Russo R. ↓, Biasci T. ↑,
77', Ferrari A. 🟨,
81', Favilli A. 🟨,
85', Moruzzi B. ↓, Sala M. ↑,
90+1', Izzo A. 🟨,
90+3', Besaggio M. 🟨,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th and 17th in the Serie B (Play Out: )).

In recent outings, Avellino has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sampdoria has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Avellino: Cancellotti T. (Injury) Fila D. (Hamstring Injury) Simic L. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Sampdoria: Abildgaard O. (Red Card) Conti F. (Inactive) Meijer B. (Injury) Sekulov N. (Inactive) Viti M. (Inactive).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Avellino has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Avellino against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Avellino	7	3	2	2	12:8	4	11
19	Sampdoria	7	1	1	5	7:15	-8	4

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Avellino: 1.57% Sampdoria: 1.08%

Last Results with these Odds

Sampdoria - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.07%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
19.09.26	Ascoli - Avellino	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Avellino - Palermo	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Modena - Avellino	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Avellino - Vicenza Virtus	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Avellino - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LTWWL
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
19.09.26	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Palermo - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Sampdoria - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Cesena - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.03.26	Sampdoria - Avellino	2:1
10.01.26	Avellino - Sampdoria	2:1

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