Match Info

Serie A Women - Relegation Group - Round 9

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio La Sciorba (Genoa)

Referee: Di Mario L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus


	Sampdoria		Como

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.9	1.55
	4.5	3.7	1.64
	4.54	3.74	1.71
	4.75	3.71	1.71	Watch
	4.52	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.5	3.7	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↓ (5.49)	3.75 ↓ (4.2)	1.66 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
20.1%

Draw
24.5%

Como
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

21.7%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

21%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Como might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Como could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sampdoria - Como Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tampieri A. (G) 26. Bertucci S. 2. Panzeri V. 23. Pisani E. 11. Heroum N. 44. Barbieri A. 21. Re C. 40. Fallico B. 14. Pellegrino C. G. 17. Llopis Alvarez M. 24. Baldi S.	12. Aprile R. (G) 2. Marcussen A. 17. Sagen T. 44. Berta Bou 6. Bergersen M. 16. Karlernas J. 20. Vaitukaityte L. 21. Picchi M. 33. Kramzar Z. 7. Nischler N. 28. Kerr A.
Substitutes
7. Arcangeli N. 8. Bercelli K. 18. Burbassi G. 4. Colombo S. 16. Larsen K. (G) 3. Nano M. 36. Nespolo S. (G) 32. Pittaccio F. 9. Rossi A. 35. Zilli E.	11. Conc D. 23. D'Agostino G. 9. del Estal E. 19. Engman A. 22. Gilardi A. (G) 3. Guagni A. 4. Hansen L. 25. Marchiori C. 30. Ruma G. (G) 1. Schroffenegger K. (G) 36. Soggiu V. (G)
Coaches
Casazza F.	Sottili S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Llopis Alvarez M. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Nischler N. ⚽, Berta Bou (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bertucci S. ↓, Nano M. ↑,
57', Bergersen M. ↓, Guagni A. ↑,
57', Karlernas J. ↓, del Estal E. ↑,
62', Baldi S. ↓, Arcangeli N. ↑,
69', Sagen T. 🟨,
76', Pellegrino C. G. ↓, Burbassi G. ↑,
76', Barbieri A. ↓, Colombo S. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Nischler N. ⚽, Kerr A. (A),
80', Fallico B. ↓, Rossi A. ↑,
81', Picchi M. ↓, Hansen L. ↑,
81', Nischler N. ↓, Conc D. ↑,
83', Panzeri V. 🟨,
83', Kramzar Z. 🟨,
90+2', Kerr A. ↓, Engman A. ↑,
90+5', Arcangeli N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 1.

Sampdoria is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Como has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sampdoria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Como is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sampdoria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria Women
Italian Serie A Women
27.04.25	Napoli - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sampdoria - Lazio	0:3 ✺
30.03.25	Sampdoria - Sassuolo	2:5 ✺
23.03.25	Como - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Sampdoria - Napoli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLTT
- FC Como Women
Italian Serie A Women
27.04.25	Como - Lazio	0:4 ✺
19.04.25	Sassuolo - Como	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Napoli - Como	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Como - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Lazio - Como	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
23.03.25	Como - Sampdoria	2:2
15.12.24	Sampdoria - Como	1:2
28.09.24	Como - Sampdoria	1:1
01.05.24	Como - Sampdoria	3:1
23.03.24	Sampdoria - Como	1:0
14.01.24	Como - Sampdoria	0:1
07.10.23	Sampdoria - Como	1:2

Sampdoria - Como: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide