Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 34

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)


	Samsunspor		Keçiörengücü

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.25	Watch
	1.55	3.9	5.25
	1.54	4.34	5.84
	1.52	3.7	5.5
	1.53	4.2	5.4	Watch
	1.56	3.85	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.56)	4 ↓ (4.03)	5.37 ↓ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
59.8%

Draw
23%

Keçiörengücü
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

23.3%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

22.3%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Samsunspor - Keçiörengücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 2.

Samsunspor is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Keçiörengücü is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Samsunspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Samsunspor is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Samsunspor to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Samsunspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish First League
11.04.23	Samsunspor - Tuzlaspor	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Göztepe - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Samsunspor - Pendikspor	4:2 ✺
28.03.23	Boluspor - Samsunspor	1:5 ✺
24.03.23	Samsunspor - Altınordu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
15.04.23	Denizlispor - Keçiörengücü	0:4 ✺
11.04.23	Keçiörengücü - Göztepe	2:3 ✺
02.04.23	Keçiörengücü - Tuzlaspor	0:1 ✺
28.03.23	Pendikspor - Keçiörengücü	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Keçiörengücü - Gençlerbirliği	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
27.11.22	Keçiörengücü - Samsunspor	1:1
05.02.22	Keçiörengücü - Samsunspor	1:1
12.09.21	Samsunspor - Keçiörengücü	2:0
28.02.21	Keçiörengücü - Samsunspor	1:1
24.10.20	Samsunspor - Keçiörengücü	4:2
Turkish Second League White Group
03.04.19	Keçiörengücü - Samsunspor	1:1
11.11.18	Samsunspor - Keçiörengücü	1:2

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