Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Turkey	HT Spor


	Samsunspor		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.6
	2.65	3.3	2.55
	2.52	3.25	2.72
	2.58	3.37	2.74
	2.67	3.46	2.53	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.45
	2.64	3.42	2.74
	2.43	3.01	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.43)	3.27 ↑ (3.02)	2.62 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
36.1%

Draw
28.4%

Panathinaikos
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

29.2%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	26.1%	52.2%

Samsunspor - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Panathinaikos (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Panathinaikos will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Panathinaikos (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. (C) 37. Satka L. 4. Van Drongelen R. 17. Tomasson L. 5. Yuksel C. 23. Musaba A. 29. Makoumbou A. 10. Ntcham O. 11. Kilinc E. 9. Marius	69. Dragowski B. (G) 27. Kotsiras G. 14. Palmer-Brown E. 5. Touba A. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 11. Bakasetas A. 4. Chirivella P. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 10. Tete 7. Ioannidis F. (C) 31. Djuricic F.
Substitutes
25. Atoen F. 8. Aydogdu S. 24. Borevkovic T. 55. Cift Y. E. 14. Dimata L. 28. Gonul S. 21. Holse C. 2. Mendes J. 12. Posiadala A. (G) 48. Toruz E. B. (G) 22. Yaldir P.	30. Bregou A. 2. Calabria D. 15. Ingason S. I. 29. Jeremejeff A. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 40. Lafont A. (G) 17. Mancini D. 25. Mladenovic F. 28. Pellistri F. 6. Siopis M. 19. Swiderski K. 9. Zaroury A.
Coaches
Reis T.	Vitoria R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Gnezda Cerin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Yuksel C. ↓, Holse C. ↑,
60', Kilinc E. ↓, Dimata L. ↑,
63', Djuricic F. ↓, Pellistri F. ↑,
71', Bakasetas A. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
71', Ioannidis F. ↓, Swiderski K. ↑,
78', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
78', Marius ↓, Yaldir P. ↑,
82', Touba A. 🟨,
85', Makoumbou A. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
89', Tete ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
90+4', Swiderski K. 🟨,
90+5', Tomasson L. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samsunspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
UEFA Europa League
21.08.25	Panathinaikos - Samsunspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
16.08.25	Kocaelispor - Samsunspor	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Samsunspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Samsunspor - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Westerlo - Samsunspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWL
- Panathinaikos FC
UEFA Europa League
21.08.25	Panathinaikos - Samsunspor	2:1 ✺
14.08.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Panathinaikos	0:1 penalties ✺
07.08.25	Panathinaikos - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.07.25	Panathinaikos - Glasgow Rangers	1:1 ✺
22.07.25	Glasgow Rangers - Panathinaikos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
21.08.25	Panathinaikos - Samsunspor	2:1

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