Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Referee: Doman T. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1 MAX
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Samsunspor		Sakaryaspor

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.75
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.65	3.55	4.35
	1.67	3.55	4.3
	1.65	3.91	5.36
	1.7	3.3	4.5
	1.68	3.7	4.94	Watch
	1.73	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.8)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	4.59 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
54.5%

Draw
25.6%

Sakaryaspor
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

25.9%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

25.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Samsunspor - Sakaryaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Samsunspor will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Samsunspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Samsunspor is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Samsunspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish First League
11.09.22	Çaykur Rizespor - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
05.09.22	Samsunspor - Manisa FK	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Erzurumspor - Samsunspor	2:2 ✺
20.08.22	Samsunspor - Eyüpspor	1:1 ✺
12.08.22	Altay - Samsunspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLTTW
- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
10.09.22	Sakaryaspor - Denizlispor	2:1 ✺
04.09.22	Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor	2:1 ✺
29.08.22	Sakaryaspor - Tuzlaspor	2:0 ✺
20.08.22	Altınordu - Sakaryaspor	0:2 ✺
14.08.22	Sakaryaspor - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.07.22	Sakaryaspor - Samsunspor	2:1
Turkish Second League Play Offs
13.05.19	Samsunspor - Sakaryaspor	0:0
09.05.19	Sakaryaspor - Samsunspor	1:0
Turkish Second League White Group
16.12.18	Sakaryaspor - Samsunspor	2:2

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