Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 34

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium (Samtredia)


	Samtredia		Gonio

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.72	3.61
	1.81	3.81	3.59	Watch
	1.77	3.7	3.75
	1.78	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.64)	3.68 ↓ (3.8)	3.61 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samtredia
50.5%

Draw
24.5%

Gonio
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

23.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

25.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samtredia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Gonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samtredia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonio than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gonio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Samtredia - Gonio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kurdadze B. (C) 22. Mchedlishvili G. 19. Kakubava L. 29. Djukic B. 15. Kveladze G. 20. Gvishiani G. 37. Mandzhgaladze G. 32. Lopez B. 7. Amoako J. 36. Kutalia L. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J.	33. Takidze R. (C) 27. Chachua R. 5. Samsonia D. 16. Kasrelishvili J. 3. Komakhidze I. 39. Vinicius Belotti 23. Jijavadze E. 6. Mamasakhlisi O. 7. Kakhabrishvili K. 12. Ingorokva L. 17. Beridze Z.
Substitutes
6. Aknazarov M. 8. Barrios E. 12. Bediashvili G. (G) 3. Dvalishvili J. 4. Kaladze L. 9. Kapanadze T. 27. Samurkasovi D. 34. Susko D. 11. Tchamba C.	9. Abuselidze T. 10. Apkhazava G. 8. Gazdeliani G. 20. Igor Dutra 11. Ivaniadze G. 35. Kasradze L. 19. Kotlyarov Y. (G) 38. Renato Luis 37. Twickenham M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Kutalia L. ⚽, Cordero Gonzalez J. (A),
28', Amoako J. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Kutalia L. ⚽, Amoako J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Samsonia D. ↓, Kasradze L. ↑,
46', Vinicius Belotti ↓, Igor Dutra ↑,
60', Amoako J. ↓, Samurkasovi D. ↑,
60', Lopez B. ↓, Aknazarov M. ↑,
61', Kakhabrishvili K. ↓, Ivaniadze G. ↑,
68', Beridze Z. ↓, Twickenham M. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Ingorokva L. ⚽,
77', Mamasakhlisi O. ↓, Abuselidze T. ↑,
80', Kutalia L. ↓, Tchamba C. ↑,
80', Cordero Gonzalez J. ↓, Kapanadze T. ↑,
82', Kasradze L. 🟨,
87', 2 - 2, Igor Dutra ⚽, Ingorokva L. (A),
88', Komakhidze I. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 2, Tchamba C. ⚽, Kapanadze T. (A),
90+3', Jijavadze E. 🟨,
90+3', Gvishiani G. ↓, Dvalishvili J. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Samtredia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Samtredia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
21.11.25	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Samtredia	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Samtredia - Spaeri	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Samtredia	1:0 ✺
Georgian Cup
30.10.25	Samtredia - Dila Gori	0:2 ET ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
26.10.25	Samtredia - Sioni Bolnisi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLLW
- FC Gonio
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
21.11.25	Gonio - Merani Martvili	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Gonio	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Gonio - Iberia 1999 2	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Gonio - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Spaeri - Gonio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
01.06.25	Samtredia - Gonio	1:1
16.04.25	Gonio - Samtredia	2:2

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