Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 31

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi)


	Lokomotivi Tbilisi		Samtredia

	1	X	2
	2.34	3.06	2.95	Watch
	2.5	3.28	2.45
	2.25	2.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.32)	3.03 ↑ (2.8)	2.83 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
38.3%

Draw
29.8%

Samtredia
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

32.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

33.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotivi Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Samtredia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Samtredia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nanava L. (G) 16. Shashiashvili S. 4. Bukia D. 24. Karimov M. 22. Khositashvili V. 10. Kekelidze L. (C) 6. Chileshe F. 11. Kalandadze L. 9. Menteshashvili L. 32. Gogatishvili G. 19. Kokhreidze L.	1. Kurdadze B. (C) 34. Susko D. 19. Kakubava L. 29. Djukic B. 22. Mchedlishvili G. 32. Lopez B. 37. Mandzhgaladze G. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J. 20. Gvishiani G. 9. Kapanadze T. 36. Kutalia L.
Substitutes
14. Amoako D. 38. Assaye D. 15. Gogokhia N. 34. Gogoli D. 12. Khelashvili L. (G) 21. Kvelashvili N. 3. Molashvili T. 36. Phiri B. 37. Vibliani A.	7. Amoako J. 12. Bediashvili G. (G) 3. Dvalishvili J. 17. Elbakidze L. 14. Gauto R. 4. Kaladze L. 15. Kveladze G. 24. Pilpani B. 11. Tchamba C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Bukia D. ⚽, Menteshashvili L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Menteshashvili L. 🟨,
74', Gogatishvili G. ↓, Vibliani A. ↑,
77', Djukic B. ↓, Gauto R. ↑,
79', Mchedlishvili G. 🟨,
83', Chileshe F. ↓, Assaye D. ↑,
85', Kapanadze T. ↓, Amoako J. ↑,
89', Gauto R. 🟨,
90+1', Kakubava L. 🟨,
90+2', Kalandadze L. ↓, Gogokhia N. ↑,
90+3', Gvishiani G. ↓, Tchamba C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotivi won 2.

Lokomotivi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Samtredia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Samtredia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lokomotivi might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lokomotivi won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotivi won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2.3:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
26.10.25	Merani Martvili - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
21.10.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Gonio - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:3 ✺
01.10.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Spaeri	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLWL
- FC Samtredia
Georgian Cup
30.10.25	Samtredia - Dila Gori	0:2 ET ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
26.10.25	Samtredia - Sioni Bolnisi	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Rustavi - Samtredia	3:0 ✺
17.10.25	Iberia 1999 2 - Samtredia	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Merani Martvili - Samtredia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
11.09.25	Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:0
20.05.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Samtredia	2:1
02.04.25	Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:1
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
01.11.21	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Samtredia	4:2
13.08.21	Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:0
16.05.21	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Samtredia	3:1
21.03.21	Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	3:4

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