Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 10

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium (Samtredia)


	Samtredia		Sioni Bolnisi

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.82
	2.25	3.16	2.85
	2.36	3.11	2.88	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.8
	2.38	3.31	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.55)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	2.83 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samtredia
39%

Draw
29%

Sioni Bolnisi
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.7%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sioni Bolnisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sioni Bolnisi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Samtredia - Sioni Bolnisi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lazarevs V. (G) 2. Gvishiani G. 39. Nosegbe-Susko D. 19. Jangidze T. 15. Kveladze G. 7. Mandzhgaladze G. (C) 31. Tsulaia L. 20. Gagnidze O. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J. 40. Chikovani T. 9. Makatsaria T.	1. Kurdadze B. (G) 2. Gaprindashvili G. (C) 3. Dundua T. 25. Kilasonia V. 6. Huskic A. 16. Ubilava G. 14. Leo Silva 4. Mindiashvili T. 8. Asamoah B. 19. Gazdeliani R. 15. Tutashvili N.
Substitutes
35. Adeishvili A. 30. Akhalkatsi S. 14. Gauto R. 4. Kaladze L. 25. Labadze A. (G) 32. Lopez B. 6. Manga H. 8. Samurkasovi D. 18. Visentini L.	32. Avaliani L. (G) 23. Chachua G. 7. Gegeshidze L. 13. Kakulia G. 39. Kevin 9. Kukhianidze S. 24. Mchedlishvili R. 11. Mzwakali B. 12. Tsnobiladze D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Lazarevs V. ↓, Labadze A. ↑,
12', Jangidze T. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Makatsaria T. ⚽, Mandzhgaladze G. (A),
19', Huskic A. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Gazdeliani R. ⚽, Asamoah B. (A),
36', Tutashvili N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jangidze T. ↓, Akhalkatsi S. ↑,
55', Akhalkatsi S. 🟨,
62', Tutashvili N. ↓, Mzwakali B. ↑,
62', Asamoah B. ↓, Tsnobiladze D. ↑,
62', Gazdeliani R. ↓, Kukhianidze S. ↑,
65', Mandzhgaladze G. 🟨,
67', Gagnidze O. ↓, Visentini L. ↑,
67', Mandzhgaladze G. ↓, Samurkasovi D. ↑,
80', Tsulaia L. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
90+2', Kukhianidze S. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Makatsaria T. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 8 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Samtredia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Samtredia	27	11	4	12	48:40	8	37
7	Bolnisi	27	8	9	10	35:34	1	33

Last Results with these Odds

Samtredia - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.75%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
26.04.26	Samtredia - Merani Martvili	1:4 ✺
22.04.26	Kolkheti Poti - Samtredia	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia	3:0 ✺
07.04.26	Telavi - Samtredia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLL
- Sioni Bolnisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
26.04.26	Sioni Bolnisi - Aragvi Dusheti	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Merani Martvili - Sioni Bolnisi	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sioni Bolnisi - Kolkheti Poti	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia	3:0 ✺
07.04.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Sioni Bolnisi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
11.04.26	Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia	3:0
26.10.25	Samtredia - Sioni Bolnisi	2:1
31.08.25	Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia	0:3
15.05.25	Samtredia - Sioni Bolnisi	0:0
29.03.25	Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia	0:1
Georgian Cup
23.07.23	Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia	4:1
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
11.12.22	Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia	0:2

Samtredia - Sioni Bolnisi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide