The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Samtredia 63.5%
Draw 21%
Sioni Bolnisi 15.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.4%
24.7%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
24%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samtredia's performance.
Sioni Bolnisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sioni Bolnisi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samtredia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sioni Bolnisi than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sioni Bolnisi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Samtredia - Sioni Bolnisi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Lazarevs V. (G) 2. Gvishiani G. 16. Dobranskyi D. 25. Gaye M. 33. Latsabidze G. 20. Gagnidze O. 7. Mandzhgaladze G. (C) 32. Lopez B. 11. Odikadze T. 37. Gvasalia D. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J.
1. Kurdadze B. (G) 6. Huskic A. 25. Kilasonia V. 3. Dundua T. 2. Gaprindashvili G. (C) 8. Sitchinava Z. 14. Leo Silva 16. Ubilava G. 30. Tsitskishvili Z. 9. Iakobidze G. 39. Kevin
Substitutes
6. Ayuk E. 8. Barrios E. 40. Chikovani T. 26. Gogitadze L. 19. Jangidze T. 4. Kaladze L. 15. Kveladze G. 1. Samkharadze S. 31. Tsulaia L.
24. Abdulahi S. 32. Avaliani L. (G) 19. Gazdeliani R. 21. Jeladze G. 13. Kakulia G. 4. Mindiashvili T. 20. Tcholokava A. 10. Tskhovrebashvili N. 15. Tutashvili N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Gagnidze O. ⚽,
40', Kilasonia V. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Mandzhgaladze G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kevin ↓, Tcholokava A. ↑,
52', 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Odikadze T. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Iakobidze G. ↓, Gazdeliani R. ↑,
66', Huskic A. ↓, Tutashvili N. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Cordero Gonzalez J. ⚽, Odikadze T. (A),
70', Cordero Gonzalez J. ↓, Barrios E. ↑,
70', Gagnidze O. ↓, Chikovani T. ↑,
70', Odikadze T. ↓, Ayuk E. ↑,
70', Sitchinava Z. ↓, Tskhovrebashvili N. ↑,
73', Mandzhgaladze G. ↓, Tsulaia L. ↑,
81', Gaye M. ↓, Jangidze T. ↑,
84', Gaprindashvili G. ↓, Abdulahi S. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Sioni could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Samtredia is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Samtredia has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:30 (averaging 1.6:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Samtredia against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 14:11 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).
Watch
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Lazarevs V. (G) 
Gvishiani G. 
Dobranskyi D. 
Gaye M. 
Lopez B. 
Cordero Gonzalez J. 
Huskic A. 
Leo Silva 
Ayuk E. 
Abdulahi S. 
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