Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 32

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium (Samtredia)


	Samtredia		Spaeri

	1	X	2
	2.23	3.31	2.83
	2.20	3.52	2.82	Watch
	2.23	3.24	2.91
	2.66	3.14	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.76)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	2.71 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samtredia
39%

Draw
27.5%

Spaeri
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

27.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samtredia's performance.

Spaeri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spaeri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samtredia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spaeri than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spaeri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Samtredia - Spaeri Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Samtredia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kurdadze B. (G) 34. Susko D. 19. Kakubava L. (C) 29. Djukic B. 20. Gvishiani G. 6. Aknazarov M. 37. Mandzhgaladze G. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J. 15. Kveladze G. 9. Kapanadze T. 36. Kutalia L.	23. Chomakhidze N. (G) 22. Chagunava N. 20. Kentchadze N. (C) 2. Pirtakhia G. 14. Samkharadze G. 5. Tsalughelashvili T. 18. Poniava P. 12. Barabadze L. 40. Mathenjwa S. 7. Gegiadze S. 11. Tsetskhladze G.
Substitutes
7. Amoako J. 12. Bediashvili G. (G) 3. Dvalishvili J. 17. Elbakidze L. 4. Kaladze L. 32. Lopez B. 27. Samurkasovi D. 11. Tchamba C.	30. Basilashvili Z. 31. Bunturi G. 6. Chotalishvili T. 24. Golubiani Z. 4. Grigalashvili G. 10. Kobakhidze L. 13. Maghaldadze G. 1. Putkaradze B. (G) 9. Tsetskhladze G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Poniava P. ⚽,
19', Kurdadze B. 🟨,
21', Tsetskhladze G. (Pen),
27', Barabadze L. 🟨,
37', Aknazarov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Aknazarov M. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
56', Poniava P. ↓, Basilashvili Z. ↑,
64', Djukic B. ↓, Samurkasovi D. ↑,
64', Kapanadze T. ↓, Amoako J. ↑,
65', Mathenjwa S. 🟨,
70', Tsetskhladze G. ↓,
78', Cordero Gonzalez J. ↓, Tchamba C. ↑,
82', Tsalughelashvili T. ↓, Chotalishvili T. ↑,
82', Gegiadze S. ↓, Kobakhidze L. ↑,
82', Samkharadze G. ↓, Grigalashvili G. ↑,
86', Mandzhgaladze G. 🟨,
87', Gvishiani G. ↓, Kaladze L. ↑,
90+6', Pirtakhia G. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Kutalia L. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 2.

Samtredia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spaeri has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Samtredia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Samtredia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
03.11.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Samtredia	1:0 ✺
Georgian Cup
30.10.25	Samtredia - Dila Gori	0:2 ET ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
26.10.25	Samtredia - Sioni Bolnisi	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Rustavi - Samtredia	3:0 ✺
17.10.25	Iberia 1999 2 - Samtredia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW
- Spaeri FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
01.11.25	Spaeri - Merani Martvili	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Spaeri	0:0 ✺
21.10.25	Spaeri - Gonio	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Spaeri	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Spaeri - Iberia 1999 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
15.09.25	Spaeri - Samtredia	1:1
24.05.25	Samtredia - Spaeri	1:0
06.04.25	Spaeri - Samtredia	2:1
15.10.22	Samtredia - Spaeri	2:1
21.08.22	Spaeri - Samtredia	1:1
22.05.22	Samtredia - Spaeri	2:2

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