The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Samut Prakan City 29.2%
Draw 27.4%
Nongbua Pitchaya 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.6%
21%
64.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.2%
20.4%
66.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samut Prakan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samut Prakan City's performance.
Nongbua Pitchaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nongbua Pitchaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samut Prakan City than the current prediction. (-15%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samut Prakan City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (+22.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nongbua Pitchaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', Bianor ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', Capistrano J. ⚽,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1).
Samut Prakan City has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Nongbua Pitchaya in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Samut Prakan City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Nongbua Pitchaya is indisputable favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Samut Prakan City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Samut Prakan City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.