Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 22

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Pitchaya Stadium (Nong Bua Lam Phu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Nongbua Pitchaya		Chainat

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.15	3.2	Watch
	2.04	3.25	3.33
	2.08	3.2	3.34	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.04	3.13	3.43
	2.05	3.1	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.87)	3.12 ↓ (3.61)	3.32 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nongbua Pitchaya
43.9%

Draw
28.9%

Chainat
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

25.4%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

25.3%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nongbua Pitchaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nongbua Pitchaya's form might have worsened.

Chainat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nongbua Pitchaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chainat than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Nongbua Pitchaya - Chainat Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nongbua Pitchaya will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Chainat will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 0, Marom W. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, Pobsayai P. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Nongbua Pitchaya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chainat is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nongbua Pitchaya could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nongbua Pitchaya won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nongbua Pitchaya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nong Bua Pitchaya	4	2	1	1	9:7	2	7
5	Chainat	4	2	1	1	5:5	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League 2
31.01.26	Bangkok FC - Nongbua Pitchaya	0:3 ✺
23.01.26	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chanthaburi	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Mahasarakham - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Kasetsart - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
27.12.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chonburi	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLL
- Chainat FC
Thai League 2
31.01.26	Chainat - Kasetsart	2:3 ✺
25.01.26	Rasisalai United - Chainat	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Chainat - Nakhon Pathom United	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Khonkaen United - Chainat	2:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
28.12.25	Chainat - Thai Port	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
20.09.25	Chainat - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:0
10.03.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chainat	3:2
11.11.23	Chainat - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:2
06.03.21	Chainat - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:1
25.10.20	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chainat	1:0

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