Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyota Field (San Antonio, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+


	San Antonio		Birmingham Legion

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.15	3.2
	2.11	3.23	3.26
	2.1	3.33	3.21	Watch
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.09	3.18	3.25	Watch
	1.84	3.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.84)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	3.25 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio
44%

Draw
28.2%

Birmingham Legion
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

26.8%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

28.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Antonio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

San Antonio - Birmingham Legion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 13. Ward A. 21. Crognale A. 3. Taintor M. (C) 43. Tiago 4. Blanco N. 19. Parano C. 6. Calov C. 55. Erofeev D. 10. Hernandez J. 24. Johnson E.	1. Koleilat J. (G) 21. Tregarthen S. 3. Kavita P. (C) 4. Hamouda R. 11. McCartney D. 8. Cole K. 18. Antwi S. 16. Vassell P. 15. Pasher T. 19. Diarbian G. 9. Damus R.
Substitutes
17. Barbir D. 98. Batrouni J. (G) 22. Cuello E. 15. Maldonado M. 70. Pacheco D. 9. Patino S. 99. Sorto C.	26. Daley A. 6. McIllhatton S. 12. McMullen T. (G) 81. Ngoma S. 7. Saucedo S. 27. Washington B. 17. Williams R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Cole K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', McCartney D. ↓, Daley A. ↑,
46', Johnson E. ↓, Sorto C. ↑,
67', Calov C. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
76', Ward A. 🟨,
79', Erofeev D. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Pasher T. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Taintor M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Saucedo S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Cuello E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tregarthen S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tiago (Penalty Awarded),
4, Williams R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hernandez J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

San Antonio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio FC
USL Championship
18.04.26	El Paso Locomotive - San Antonio	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	San Antonio - Miami	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Orange County SC - San Antonio	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Monterey Bay - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	San Antonio - Tulsa	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTLTL
- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
19.04.26	Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Birmingham Legion - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Charleston Battery - Birmingham Legion	3:2 ✺
11.03.26	Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
27.09.25	San Antonio - Birmingham Legion	0:0
19.06.24	Birmingham Legion - San Antonio	3:0
01.07.23	San Antonio - Birmingham Legion	3:1
09.10.22	Birmingham Legion - San Antonio	1:2
22.05.21	San Antonio - Birmingham Legion	2:1

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