The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orange County SC 35.1%
Draw 31%
San Antonio 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
33.5%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
34.1%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
San Antonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Orange County SC - San Antonio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rando A. (G) 21. War M. 5. Brewitt T. 6. Tubbs G. 4. Benalcazar N. 18. Palomino M. 19. Partida K. 27. Kelly S. 10. Hegardt C. 12. Bazini Y. 11. MacKinnon L.
98. Batrouni J. (G) 21. Crognale A. 3. Taintor M. (C) 17. Barbir D. 13. Ward A. 55. Erofeev D. 15. Maldonado M. 22. Cuello E. 19. Parano C. 9. Patino S. 10. Hernandez J.
Substitutes
2. Doody G. 15. Espy T. 17. Johnson J. 31. Kadono T. (G) 29. Kurnik O. 22. Marinch A. 25. Solis E. 8. Sylla O. 9. Zubak E.
4. Blanco N. 6. Calov C. 7. Haakenson L. 24. Johnson E. 1. Sanchez R. (G) 99. Sorto C. 43. Tiago
Coaches
Stone D.
Llamosa C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, MacKinnon L. ⚽, Palomino M. (A),
24', Crognale A. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Bazini Y. ⚽,
40', Hernandez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Erofeev D. ↓, Calov C. ↑,
46', Hernandez J. ↓, Johnson E. ↑,
49', Ward A. 🟨,
69', MacKinnon L. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
69', Palomino M. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
76', Hegardt C. 🟨,
78', Cuello E. ↓, Blanco N. ↑,
80', Ward A. ↓, Sorto C. ↑,
83', Brewitt T. 🟨,
83', Patino S. ↓, Tiago ↑,
84', Hegardt C. ↓, Doody G. ↑,
84', Bazini Y. ↓, Espy T. ↑,
86', 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 3.
Recent performances by Orange County SC have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
San Antonio is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.1:0.3).