Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Protective Stadium (Birmingham, AL)

Referee: Radosav C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Birmingham Legion		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.32	3.3	2.78
	2.53	3.5	2.83
	2.27	3.49	2.92	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.63
	2.39	3.22	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.23)	3.34 ↓ (3.39)	2.76 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
39%

Draw
27.6%

Indy Eleven
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.1%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

27.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koleilat J. (G) 21. Tregarthen S. 3. Kavita P. (C) 4. Hamouda R. 11. McCartney D. 18. Antwi S. 6. McIllhatton S. 16. Vassell P. 15. Pasher T. 19. Diarbian G. 17. Williams R.	1. Dick E. (G) 2. White H. 4. Herbert A. 37. Craig P. 14. Quinn A. 6. Lindley C. 27. Rendon B. 5. O'Brien J. 8. Blake J. 90. Mesanvi L. 18. Okello N.
Substitutes
8. Cole K. 9. Damus R. 2. Duru L. 12. McMullen T. (G) 81. Ngoma S. 7. Saucedo S. 27. Washington B.	39. Barry H. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 19. Kizza E. 17. Neidlinger L. 21. Rasheed M. 20. Sing D. 10. Williams K.
Coaches
Heaps J.	McAuley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Pasher T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', White H. ↓, Rasheed M. ↑,
51', Antwi S. 🟨,
52', Mesanvi L. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
54', McIllhatton S. 🟨,
66', Vassell P. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
66', Williams R. ↓, Damus R. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Kizza E. ⚽, Rasheed M. (A),
71', McCartney D. 🟨,
74', Kavita P. ↓, Washington B. ↑,
78', Okello N. ↓, Neidlinger L. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, O'Brien J. ⚽, Neidlinger L. (A),
84', Rendon B. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, McIllhatton S. ⚽, Diarbian G. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
12.04.26	Birmingham Legion - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Charleston Battery - Birmingham Legion	3:2 ✺
11.03.26	Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLTL
- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
11.04.26	Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
31.03.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
21.09.25	Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion	2:1
USL Cup
28.06.25	Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion	2:1 penalties
USL Championship
04.06.25	Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven	0:1
19.10.24	Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion	3:2
09.06.24	Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven	0:1
09.08.23	Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion	4:0
17.06.23	Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven	2:1

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