Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 5

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Dr. Carlos Villegas (Entre Rios)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	San Antonio Bulo Bulo		Independiente Petroleros

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4
	1.44	4.65	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4.85	5.47
	1.46	4.96	5.63	Watch
	1.44	4.4	5
	1.41	4.6	5.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.64)	4.59 ↑ (4.35)	5.31 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
62.7%

Draw
20%

Independiente Petroleros
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

21.5%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

23.3%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio Bulo Bulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Antonio Bulo Bulo's performance.

Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio Bulo Bulo than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Independiente Petroleros Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giossa L. (G) 8. Merida K. 3. Cabral Y. 14. Yanarico L. 34. Mendoza G. 7. Herrera J. 10. Terrazas A. (C) 15. Machado C. 13. Medina A. 18. Menacho R. 11. Cordoba A.	1. Gutierrez J. (G) 13. Montenegro L. 5. Palma L. (C) 16. Montero R. 4. Rodriguez F. 19. Cristaldo G. 6. Rojas D. 93. Willie 59. Villavicencio J. 9. Cristaldo J. E. 7. Cardozo R.
Substitutes
21. Ballivian R. 32. Briceno J. 31. Bustos R. 16. Cardoso H. 19. De Lima M. 17. Guerra S. 12. Guzman L. 33. Magallanes J. 6. Mercado Diego 26. Romero C. 24. Vaca P. 30. Villamil J.	82. Claros D. 39. Grass P. 32. Leanos H. 20. Mercado A. 27. Navarro D. 23. Rivas R. 2. Torres S. 50. Vargas D. 12. Vera J. (G) 77. Zamora R.
Coaches
Cortes J.	Thiago Leitao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Menacho R. ⚽, Merida K. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Willie ⚽, Cristaldo J. E. (A),
45+1', Palma L. 🟨,
45+5', Machado C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
51', 2 - 1, Menacho R. ⚽, Cordoba A. (A),
59', Machado C. ↓, Ballivian R. ↑,
59', Medina A. ↓, Cardoso H. ↑,
66', Palma L. ↓, Rivas R. ↑,
66', Villavicencio J. ↓, Zamora R. ↑,
67', Cristaldo G. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
71', Menacho R. ↓, De Lima M. ↑,
76', Rodriguez F. ↓, Leanos H. ↑,
81', Mendoza G. 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Willie ⚽,
85', Cordoba A. ↓, Briceno J. ↑,
87', Willie ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
90+2', Rojas D. 🟨,
90+5', Cabral Y. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SA Bulo Bulo won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

SA Bulo Bulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ind Petroleros has had a series of away games.

In this match, SA Bulo Bulo is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, SA Bulo Bulo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 3.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, SA Bulo Bulo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 4:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Independiente	20	7	4	9	27:35	-8	25
13	SA Bulo Bulo	20	6	2	12	21:40	-19	20

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Petroleros - the odds 4.31 are the expected chance of winning is 21.65%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.04.26	Aurora - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3:1 ✺
23.04.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Real Oruro	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	The Strongest - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Oriente Petrolero	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Blooming - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWL
- Independiente Petroleros
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Independiente Petroleros	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.04.26	Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	Caracas - Independiente Petroleros	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
10.04.26	Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.9 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
27.10.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Independiente Petroleros	3:1
12.10.25	Independiente Petroleros - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1:3
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.09.25	Independiente Petroleros - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	4:2
02.05.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Independiente Petroleros	4:2
12.12.24	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Independiente Petroleros	3:1
24.08.24	Independiente Petroleros - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3:3
28.04.24	Independiente Petroleros - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3:1

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