Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter


	Caracas		Independiente Petroleros

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.65	3.35	5.9
	1.63	3.5	6.05
	1.54	3.98	6.64	Watch
	1.6	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.69	5.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)	3.62 ↓ (3.7)	5.96 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
58%

Draw
26.1%

Independiente Petroleros
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

24.8%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

23.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Caracas - Independiente Petroleros Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benitez F. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 19. Mago L. 13. Yendis J. 15. Larotonda C. 33. Correa W. 37. Vegas C. 17. Reinoso L. 10. Covea M. 9. Fernandez A.	1. Gutierrez J. (G) 2. Torres S. 5. Palma L. 3. Eduardo 4. Rodriguez F. 50. Vargas D. 6. Rojas D. (C) 7. Cardozo R. 93. Willie 10. Thomaz 23. Rivas R.
Substitutes
27. Gonzalez S. 36. Gudino D. 35. Lezama R. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 3. Pagano L. 43. Palma R. 4. Quintero J. 7. Robert Hernandez 32. Uribe J. 12. Vegas J. (G)	88. Adelan 19. Cristaldo G. 9. Cristaldo J. E. 39. Grass P. 32. Leanos H. 11. Lutkowski R. 20. Mercado A. 13. Montenegro L. 16. Montero R. 27. Navarro D. 12. Vera J. (G) 99. Wagner Pinote
Coaches
Aristeguieta F.	Thiago Leitao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', La Mantia F. 🟨,
21', Palma L. 🟨,
35', Mago L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Correa W. ⚽, Fereira Penaranda E. E. (A),
57', Thomaz ↓, Adelan ↑,
57', Vargas D. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
59', Reinoso L. ↓, Lezama R. ↑,
59', Fernandez A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
66', Vegas C. 🟨,
71', Vegas C. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
72', Uribe J. 🟨,
75', Adelan 🟨,
76', La Mantia F. 🟨,
78', Covea M. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
82', Cardozo R. ↓, Wagner Pinote ↑,
83', Rojas D. ↓, Cristaldo G. ↑,
86', Willie ↓, Cristaldo J. E. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Caracas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ind Petroleros is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ind Petroleros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Caracas is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Petroleros - the odds 5 are the expected chance of winning is 18.33%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.04.26	Caracas - Academia Anzoátegui	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.04.26	Caracas - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Monagas - Caracas	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Caracas - Trujillanos	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LTWTW
- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional
10.04.26	Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Independiente Petroleros - Racing	1:3 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.04.26	Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.03.26	Blooming - Independiente Petroleros	1:0 ✺
12.03.26	Independiente Petroleros - Blooming	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLLL

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