Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Dr. Carlos Villegas (Entre Rios)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Belarus	Okko Sport
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	ESPN
Ecuador	DSports 2
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Malaysia	Mola
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
South-america	DGO Latin America, ESPN 5 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Inter


	San Antonio Bulo Bulo		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.75	1.62	Watch
	4.1	3.6	1.82
	4.95	3.7	1.65	Watch
	6.25	3.94	1.58
				Watch
	4	3.4	1.83	Watch
	4.92	3.86	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↑ (4.8)	3.71 ↓ (3.98)	1.7 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
19%

Draw
25.4%

Once Caldas
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

23.6%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

19.8%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio Bulo Bulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio Bulo Bulo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Once Caldas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Once Caldas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. SA Bulo Bulo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Once Caldas: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. SA Bulo Bulo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Once Caldas (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Once Caldas (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. SA Bulo Bulo (votes: 1 - 25%). Once Caldas (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Giossa L. (G) 22. Saucedo W. 3. Barbosa Quiroz L. R. (C) 27. Valencia C. 10. Terrazas A. 7. Herrera J. 30. Montenegro J. 9. Vasquez A. 19. Sanchez E. 4. Flores J. 11. Alonso M.	12. Aguirre J. (G) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 33. Patino J. 18. Riquett J. (C) 34. Cardona J. 5. Rojas I. 7. Barrios M. 20. Garcia Castillo A. 10. Sanchez L. 28. Zuleta M. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A.
Substitutes
5. Arce S. 17. Avalos A. 91. De Lima M. 20. Justiniano L. 28. Lopez R. 34. Mendoza G. 6. Mercado Diego 31. Penarrieta J. (G) 24. Rodriguez H. 25. Sanchez H. 18. Vargas R. 15. Villarroel S.	8. Beltran E. 15. Castano J. 23. Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 2. Garcia J. 19. Garcia M. 9. Gomez P. 17. Moreno D. 24. Palacios L. 35. Parra J. (G) 70. Quinones D. 32. Rojas T. 30. Tamayo K.
Coaches
de Pablos P.	Herrera H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Sanchez E. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', Cuesta Santos J. D. 🟨,
50', 0 - 1, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽,
55', Terrazas A. ↓, Justiniano L. ↑,
55', Alonso M. ↓, Rodriguez H. ↑,
61', Barrios M. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
61', Cuesta Santos J. D. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
64', Barbosa Quiroz L. R. ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
70', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
70', Cardona J. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
70', Zuleta M. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
73', Vasquez A. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
73', Montenegro J. ↓, Avalos A. ↑,
77', Patino J. 🟨,
85', 0 - 2, Moreno D. ⚽, Gomez P. (A),
88', 0 - 3, Gomez P. ⚽, Quinones D. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Recent performances by SA Bulo Bulo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Once Caldas has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Once Caldas is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Bolivian Copa Pacena
10.07.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - ABB	0:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
05.07.25	Real Tomayapo - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
02.07.25	Aurora - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	0:3 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.06.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - GVCD San José	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
24.06.25	ABB - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LTWWL
- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
11.07.25	Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Newells Old Boys - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
03.07.25	Cruz Azul - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
19.06.25	Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
16.06.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

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