Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	San Cristóbal		Manresa

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.3
	2.74	3.19	2.45
	2.88	3	2.3
	2.9	3.08	2.32
	2.66	3.14	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.33)	3.08 ↑ (2.88)	2.36 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Cristóbal
32.2%

Draw
29.4%

Manresa
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

31.5%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

30.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Cristóbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Manresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Cristóbal than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Cristóbal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (+4%)

San Cristóbal - Manresa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Olmedo N. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+9', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Cristóbal won 0.

Recent performances by San Cristóbal have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Manresa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

San Cristóbal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Cristóbal won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, San Cristóbal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	San Cristobal CP	4	1	1	2	4:8	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP San Cristóbal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
03.01.26	CE Europa B - San Cristóbal	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	San Cristóbal - Grama	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Tona - San Cristóbal	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	San Cristóbal - Lleida	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Vilanova - San Cristóbal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTTTT
- CE Manresa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.01.26	Manresa - Cornellà	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Badalona - Manresa	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Manresa - Montañesa	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Manresa	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Manresa - Peralada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
23.02.25	Manresa - San Cristóbal	1:1
13.10.24	San Cristóbal - Manresa	0:1
20.03.22	San Cristóbal - Manresa	1:2
14.11.21	Manresa - San Cristóbal	1:1
31.01.21	San Cristóbal - Manresa	0:0
01.11.20	Manresa - San Cristóbal	1:0
03.11.19	San Cristóbal - Manresa	1:4

Upcoming Matches